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Gazprom Warns Ukraine About Tapping European Gas --> Gazprom spokesman Sergei Kupriyanov (file photo) (ITAR-TASS) 26 January 2006 -- Russia's state-owned Gazprom natural gas company said today it will not tolerate Ukraine diverting gas meant for European customers.

Gazprom spokesman Sergei Kupriyanov said that Ukraine is using up more than its consumption limit and that gas meant for European customers "is not even reaching the border."

He reiterated that Russia had not agreed to allow Ukraine to raise its consumption due to the unseasonably cold weather.

Oleksiy Ivchenko, the head of Ukraine's Naftohaz state energy company admitted on 26 January that in January Ukraine will exceed the maximum amount allowed under its deal with Gazprom.

Ivchenko said Ukraine will have to pay a higher price for the excess amount.

Gazprom's Kupriyanov said on 25 January that Ukraine had already used up its January quota.

("Ukrayinska pravda,", Interfax)

Russia's Gas Strategy

RUNNING HOT AND COLD The crisis over Russian supplies of natural gas to Ukraine that erupted on New Year's Day has implications that spread well beyond these two countries and will impact both economic and political policymaking throughout Europe. On January 19, RFE/RL's Washington, D.C., office hosted a briefing the examined the ramifications of the natural-gas conflict.

CLIFFORD GADDY, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, outlined Russia's "grand energy strategy," in which Ukraine is perceived as merely an obstacle frustrating Russia's energy ambitions in Western Europe and therefore a nonentity in Russia's broader strategic planning. According to Gaddy, Russia's strategic goal regarding energy is to maximize the role of its own energy resources in the world energy markets, so as to increase its geopolitical influence. To do this, it must reduce competition and maximize dependency on its own energy resources, as well as ensure a stable supply.

TARAS KUZIO, a visiting assistant professor at George Washington University, rebutted Gaddy's argument, claiming that Russia's actions evidenced a complete lack of geopolitical strategy and resulted in strong denunciations by Western countries and a loss of political allies in Ukraine. According to Kuzio, Russian President Vladimir Putin's desire to have a deal signed by the January 4 European Union energy summit outweighed his hope of reinforcing opposition to Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko during the run-up to Ukraine's March 26 parliamentary elections.

RFE/RL Coordinator of Corruption Studies ROMAN KUPCHINSKY did not fully agree with Kuzio's assessments of Yushchenko or Ukraine. He outlined three major problems that are feeding the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. The biggest, he argues, is that the state-controlled Russian gas giant Gazprom holds a monopoly on natural-gas sales outside the CIS. Kupchinsky also decried Ukraine's consumption of natural gas, terming it "out of control." Corruption is also a major factor in the conflict, Kupchinsky said, although the extent to which it taints the deal struck between Russia and Ukraine remains unknown.


Listen to the complete panel discussion (about 90 minutes):
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Moscow And Energy Leverage

Russia's New Imperialism

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