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President Ahmadinejad (center) visiting the uranium-enrichment facility at Natanz in February (Fars)
August 21, 2006 -- The United States has again warned it will pursue United Nations sanctions against Iran if Tehran fails to comply with a UN Security Council demand to halt uranium-enrichment work by the end of this month.
The statement from White House spokeswoman Emily Lawrimore came as Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Hamid Reza Assefi on August 20 said Iran was ready for negotiations but would not suspend enrichment.
"The issue of suspension is a return to the past," Assefi said. "We are not going to suspend [uranium enrichment activities]. The suspension of uranium enrichment [activities] is not on our agenda."
UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan, in a statement, has appealed to Iran to seize what he called the "historic opportunity" to negotiate a lasting settlement to the nuclear standoff by accepting an offer of incentives from major powers in exchange for halting enrichment.
Iran has said it will formally respond by August 22 to the offer made by the United States, Russia, China, France, Britain, and Germany.
Economic sanctions could further undermine Iran's already shaky economy (Fars)
MOVING TOWARD SANCTIONS: If the United Nations Security Council imposes sanctions on Iran, domestic support for Iranian President Mahmud Ahmadinejad will wane, according to ALEX VATANKA, Eurasia editor for Jane's Information Group.
Vatanka told a February 24 RFE/RL briefing that "economic sanctions will hurt the average Iranian" and, consequently, many "will blame the ruling clerics" for making life difficult and "impairing the country's long term development."
Vatanka said sanctions would be a serious challenge to the Iranian government. If harsh economic sanctions were imposed, Iran's poorest population will be hurt the hardest -- and might react "as they did in the 1970s and protest in the streets." Sanctions on travel, Vatanka said, would hurt a many Iranians because "Iran is a nation of small traders" who depend on the ability to travel to earn an income. According to Vatanka, unemployment in Iran is estimated at 30 percent, "so small trading is essential to survival." Although current U.S. sanctions "haven't worked," he said, "Iranians fear an oil embargo." He stressed that "oil revenues are a major part of the economy, so it is critical to look at this sector."
Should negotiations with the European Union and the UN fail, Vatanka believes that Iran would follow a "North Korea model," since Ahmadinejad's base of support among the "Islamist militias" has been "urging withdrawal from the NPT [Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty]." The Iranian government's "tactic" so far, Vatanka said, is governed by the belief that "by shouting the loudest, you'll get concessions [from the West]."
Listen to the complete panel discussion (about 60 minutes):
THE COMPLETE STORY: RFE/RL's coverage of the controversy surrounding Iran's nuclear program.
CHRONOLOGY An annotated timeline of Iran's nuclear program.