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Iran Warns EU Over Nuclear Program Ultimatum


http://gdb.rferl.org/93348621-9bc6-4e1d-84f5-53b0eb7f3cde_w203.jpg --> http://gdb.rferl.org/93348621-9bc6-4e1d-84f5-53b0eb7f3cde_mw800_mh600.jpg The Bushehr nuclear plant (file photo) (AFP) October 20, 2006 -- Iran's Foreign Ministry has condemned the October 17 statement issued by EU foreign ministers in Luxembourg that said Iran's refusal to suspend its uranium-enrichment program has left the bloc "with no choice" but to support UN consultations on possible sanctions.


In a statement issued today, the ministry says the move is against European and Iranian efforts on resolving the nuclear issue through negotiations.


The statement says Tehran abides by its international commitments, including the Nonproliferation Treaty.


But the ministry warns if the other side move toward imposing pressure, sanction and threat, Iran will react and will not permit any country to infringe its legitimate rights.


(IRNA)

What Would Sanctions Mean?

Economic sanctions could further undermine Iran's already shaky economy (Fars)

MOVING TOWARD SANCTIONS: If the United Nations Security Council imposes sanctions on Iran, domestic support for Iranian President Mahmud Ahmadinejad will wane, according to ALEX VATANKA, Eurasia editor for Jane's Information Group.
Vatanka told a February 24 RFE/RL briefing that "economic sanctions will hurt the average Iranian" and, consequently, many "will blame the ruling clerics" for making life difficult and "impairing the country's long term development."
Vatanka said sanctions would be a serious challenge to the Iranian government. If harsh economic sanctions were imposed, Iran's poorest population will be hurt the hardest -- and might react "as they did in the 1970s and protest in the streets." Sanctions on travel, Vatanka said, would hurt a many Iranians because "Iran is a nation of small traders" who depend on the ability to travel to earn an income. According to Vatanka, unemployment in Iran is estimated at 30 percent, "so small trading is essential to survival." Although current U.S. sanctions "haven't worked," he said, "Iranians fear an oil embargo." He stressed that "oil revenues are a major part of the economy, so it is critical to look at this sector."
Should negotiations with the European Union and the UN fail, Vatanka believes that Iran would follow a "North Korea model," since Ahmadinejad's base of support among the "Islamist militias" has been "urging withdrawal from the NPT [Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty]." The Iranian government's "tactic" so far, Vatanka said, is governed by the belief that "by shouting the loudest, you'll get concessions [from the West]."


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THE COMPLETE STORY: RFE/RL's coverage of the controversy surrounding Iran's nuclear program.


CHRONOLOGY

An annotated timeline of Iran's nuclear program.

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