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Caucasus Report

Violence Pervades Ingushetian President's First Year In Office 

Yunus-Bek Yevkurov -- his greatest achievement as president may be actually surviving the first year.

October 30, 2009

On October 31, 2008, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev named Yunus-Bek Yevkurov, a colonel in military intelligence, to succeed Murat Zyazikov as president of Ingushetia.

Yevkurov's greatest achievement over the past year is arguably that he is still alive, having made a remarkable recovery from injuries sustained in an assassination attempt on June 22.

But he also secured a huge financial aid package from Moscow intended to kick-start the republic's moribund economy, reduce unemployment, and alleviate social problems. And he has made every effort to reach out to, and win the trust of, a population alienated and disgusted by the corruption and inefficiency that flourished under Zyazikov.

Yevkurov has been less successful, however, in improving the efficiency of the republic's government, tackling economic stagnation and unemployment, and stemming the ongoing attacks by the Islamic resistance on police and security personnel. The October 25 murder of respected moderate oppositionist Maksharip Aushev led several observers to question whether and to what extent Yevkurov is in control of developments in Ingushetia.

Shaking Up Government

Yevkurov's initial moves following his appointment as president were encouraging. He immediately dismissed the entire cabinet, vowing that the sole criteria for selecting new ministers would be professional competence and honesty.

He duly named as his new prime minister a young economist, Rashid Gaysanov, who had served as economy minister under Zyazikov's predecessor, retired army General Ruslan Aushev. And he proposed that ministers should serve a probation period of one year, during which they would be required to draft a detailed program for developing the specific sector for which they were responsible.

Within days of his appointment, Yevkurov met with the parents of Magomed Yevloyev, the Moscow-based owner of an opposition website who was detained by police and shot dead two months earlier on his arrival at Magas airport. Yevkurov also convened a meeting with representatives of the republic's small but vocal opposition, some of whom, including Maksharip Aushev, subsequently agreed to join his team.

Yevkurov launched an energetic crackdown on corruption, even making public the number of his mobile phone and encouraging citizens to call him directly to report cases of unfair dismissal or failure to pay salaries on time. He met regularly with members of the public to discuss their grievances. Several weeks ago, he established an informal council comprising the heads of Ingushetia's various teyps (clans) in the hope of mobilizing their help and support in his struggle against corruption and to halt the steady flow of disenchanted young men to join the resistance ranks.

But Yevkurov's twin objectives of political stability and national reconciliation were undermined by ongoing daily shootings and explosions, on the one hand, and by a combination of inefficiency and passive resistance within the republic's government, on the other. Possibly the most fateful example of that incompetence was the failure of the Interior Ministry to prevent the suicide car-bomb attack on August 17, despite reports that a terror attack was imminent.

In early October, Yevkurov dissolved the government, citing as his rationale for doing so the failure of unnamed ministers to resolve pressing social and economic problems, and corruption. He then selected to succeed Gaysanov as prime minister a Russian career Federal Security Service (FSB) officer, Aleksei Vorobyov, whom he had named Security Council secretary in January.

Reuters in late January quoted medical personnel as saying that during Yevkurov's first months in office, there had been a noticeable drop in the incidence of attacks by Islamic militants on law enforcement personnel. But that trend proved only short-lived. During the first six months of this year, there were no fewer than 58 resistance attacks on members of the police and security services, of whom 37 were killed and 79 wounded. In addition, more than 39 civilians were killed, and of 10 people abducted, four were found dead.

As in Chechnya and Daghestan, there has been an increase in the number of civilians abducted, killed and subsequently branded without any evidence as resistance fighters. The argument, adduced repeatedly by human rights activists and by Ingushetian oppositionist Magomed Khazbiyev in a May 10 interview with Ekho Moskvy, that such arbitrary reprisals only drive more young men to join the resistance, is clearly lost on those officials in Moscow with the authority to order a halt to such tactics.

Chechen Factor

Whether and to what extent meddling by security organs in neighboring Chechnya has fuelled instability in Ingushetia remains unclear. Following a suicide bombing in Grozny in mid-May, Chechen Republic head Ramzan Kadyrov secured Yevkurov's support for a counterterrorism operation by Interior Ministry forces from both republics in the region that straddles the border between them.

Some observers construed Kadyrov's move as the first step in a campaign to undermine Yevkurov and thereby bolster the argument, floated at intervals by Kadyrov's subordinates over the previous three years, that Chechnya and Ingushetia should again be combined into a single republic (of which Kadyrov would be named head).

In the wake of the attempt to kill Yevkurov in late June, Kadyrov announced that Medvedev had transferred to him sole responsibility for coordinating the joint counterterrorism operation, but Ingushetian Interior Minister Ruslan Meyriyev reportedly refused to take orders from Kadyrov.

Chechen involvement in the killing of Maksharip Aushev just days before the first anniversary of Yevkurov's appointment as president cannot be excluded, for two reasons. First, it would serve Kadyrov's imputed desire to discredit, sideline, and then supplant Yevkurov.

And second, Aushev had incurred the enmity of police and security forces in Chechnya by making public the involvement of Chechen Interior Ministry forces in the abduction two years ago of his son and nephew. When police in Ingushetia claimed it was impossible to locate the two men, Aushev launched a private investigation and finally managed to rescue them from an unregistered prison in Chechnya's Urus Martan Raion. "Novaya gazeta" has pointed out that such a facility could not have existed without Kadyrov's knowledge and approval.

In one of his last interviews, Aushev argued that Kadyrov shares the blame for the deterioration of the situation in Ingushetia in recent years because Chechen security forces under his control participated in the wave of abductions and killings of young men known to be practicing Muslims. Aushev said that "the whole of Ingushetia is against Kadyrov.... I shall be the first to oppose him if he enters Ingushetia."

Yevkurov praised Aushev on October 27 as having been "a real help," most recently in ensuring that the October 11 local government elections passed without incident. He said Aushev's murder "dealt a blow to my authority." At the same time, Yevkurov vowed that "I will not step down as president and return to Moscow...because to do so would be an act of cowardice."


Chechen Republic Head Brands Exiled Minister ‘Liar’ 

Akhmed Zakayev, the head of the Chechen government in exile

October 28, 2009

Speaking on October 28 at a regional conference of the ruling United Russia party, Chechen Republic head Ramzan Kadyrov criticized as a hypocrite and a liar Akhmed Zakayev, who heads the Chechen Republic Ichkeria (ChRI) government in exile. Kadyrov accused Zakayev of having initially given a glowing assessment of the post-conflict reconstruction Kadyrov launched in Chechnya, then saying the exact opposite and "blackening everything that has been accomplished."

Over the past year, Kadyrov has repeatedly sought to induce Zakayev to return to Chechnya, and in February 2009 he extended a formal invitation to Zakayev to do so. The two men have spoken briefly twice by telephone. But Zakayev declined to commit himself, telling the website kasparov.ru that the security guarantees Kadyrov offered were inadequate.

Kadyrov said again in late March that Zakayev and other prominent ChRI politicians were ready to return to Grozny. Then in late June, when Zakayev had still given no firm commitment, Kadyrov warned that his invitation was not open-ended, and that "if he does not seize the moment I shall close the doors and stop interceding for him." He set a deadline of one month for Zakayev to decide whether to stay in London or return to Grozny.

Yet despite that warning, Kadyrov's envoy Dukvakha Abdurakhmanov met with Zakayev in Oslo in late June and mid-July, and then in London in mid-August, to discuss how to promote civic reconciliation in Chechnya and thus enable those of the tens of thousands of Chechens currently living in exile in various European countries who wish to return home to do so. In August, the two sides agreed to convene a world congress of Chechens to promote political stabilization. The tentative date for that gathering is February 23, 2010.

According to Abdurakhmanov, his discussions with Zakayev have the full backing of Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and Prime Minister Vladimir Putin. But Moscow may since have rejected one key issue that Zakayev said he raised with Abdurakhmanov: returning to their families the bodies of slain Chechen resistance commanders, including former ChRI President Aslan Maskhadov. They were buried in unmarked graves in line with Russian legislation on terrorism.


Georgia Braces For ‘Provocations’ On Border With Russia 

October 28, 2009

Georgian parliamentarians met on October 28 with top national security officials to discuss the implications of recent Russian allegations that international terrorists affiliated with Al-Qaeda are transiting Georgia en route to join the ranks of the North Caucasus resistance. The minority Christian Democratic Movement parliament faction responded to those allegations by proposing the creation of a Confidence Group that will monitor the situation in the Pankisi Gorge, which borders Chechnya, and which Chechen militants used as a rear base in 2000-2002.

Members of the Confidence Group, together with journalists and foreign diplomats, will travel to Pankisi on October 29 to assess the situation there first hand. Christian Democratic faction deputy head Nikoloz Laliashvili said that the group will start with Pankisi, and then methodically check any district Russian officials subsequently claim terrorists are using as a base.

Georgian Counterterrorism Center head Zurab Maisuradze told the Confidence Group on October 28 that there are no "terrorists" on Georgian territory. He said any claims to the contrary are "lies." Border police chief Zaza Gogava similarly said that not a single illegal border crossing between Georgia and Russia has been registered this year.

But Georgian intelligence service head Gela Bezhuashvili nonetheless warned on October 28 that there are grounds to suspect that Russia may be preparing "provocations" on its borders with Georgia, which the Georgian authorities will seek to avert. Georgian media had earlier published unsubstantiated reports that Russia plans to infiltrate fighters into Georgia, where they would then carry out acts of terrorism.

Alternatively, Russia would adduce the presence of those militants on Georgian territory as evidence that the Georgian leadership maintains links with Al-Qaeda. But security expert Irakli Sesiashvili pointed out that the only mountain paths by which fighters could enter Pankisi from Russia are already under several meters of snow.


Georgian Public Broadcaster ‘Unable’ To Grant Patriarchate Air Time 

Georgian Patriarch Ilia II

October 28, 2009

In the wake of last week's scandal surrounding the internet footage showing Patriarch Ilia II, the head of the Georgian Orthodox Church, apparently denigrating Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili, Ilia's press secretary Mikael Botkoveli has addressed a formal request to the Georgian Public Broadcaster to air a debate on the issue.

But Levan Gakheladze, who is chairman of the channel's Board of Trustees, said on October 28 that due to ongoing renovation and construction work it is not currently "technically possible" to do so. National-Christian Movement leader Giorgi Andriadze condemned that refusal in a statement later on October 28, Caucasus Press reported. Andriadze said he is convinced that Saakashvili personally was behind the refusal to grant the Church's request.


Who Has An Interest In Discrediting Georgia's Patriarch? 

Patriarch Ilia II (left) was once a strong supporter of President Mikheil Saakashvili, but has criticized his actions in last year's war with Russia.

October 23, 2009

Video footage posted last week on Georgian websites and on YouTube showing Georgian Patriarch Ilia II with a voiceover of insulting comments about Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili has triggered a storm of criticism from the Georgian authorities, opposition parties, and the Georgian Orthodox Church.

Some NGOs suspect the Georgian authorities released the video in a bid to discredit Ilia, who last week implicitly criticized Saakashvili for precipitating the war with Russia in August 2008. Ilia said that war could and should have been avoided.

The 42-second video clip was first uploaded on YouTube on October 13; Tea Tutberidze of the NGO Liberty Institute then posted it on Facebook. Tutberidze subsequently explained that she did so because she considered Ilia's remarks detrimental to the Georgian state.

Tutberidze also said she fears that Russia seeks to use the Georgian Orthodox Church to exert pressure on the Georgian leadership, and to co-opt the patriarch personally. She argued that "when a tumor develops on an organ of the body, it should be surgically removed rather than treated with painkillers in the hope that it will disappear."

This was not the first time Tutberidze has criticized the patriarchy. In March 2007, she spoke out against its plans to launch its own television and radio channels. Few Georgians appear to take Tutberidze's apprehensions seriously, however. On the contrary, the presidential administration and opposition parliament deputies alike have denounced the montage as "loathsome," "unacceptable," and "unethical."

The patriarchate press office released a statement condemning the circulation of the video clip as part of a campaign to discredit the Georgian Orthodox Church and to "destroy the foundations of our statehood." For his part, Saakashvili on October 21affirmed his support and respect for Ilia. An NGO named Movement in Defense of Our Honor was established the same day with the express aim of protecting Ilia's reputation.

Now 76, Ilia has occupied the post of patriarch for over three decades. He was born in Vladikavkaz, North Ossetia, and entered the Moscow Theological Seminary in 1952 --one year before Stalin died.

On completing his religious education, he returned to Georgia in 1960 and was consecrated in 1963 as bishop of Batumi, then in 1967 as bishop of Tskhumi and Abkhazia. He was elected patriarch in December 1977 in the wake of a scandal triggered by the circulation of samizdat documents chronicling alleged corruption and homosexuality among the Georgian clergy.

Ilia formed an informal alliance in the late 1980s with nationalist leader and future President Zviad Gamsakhurdia, one of the anonymous authors of those samizdat denunciations, and tried unsuccessfully to avert the massacre of Georgian protesters by Soviet troops in Tbilisi on April 9, 1989.

Since Georgia regained its independence in 1991 following the demise of the USSR, Ilia has consistently affirmed the supremacy in Georgia of the Georgian Orthodox Church and denounced other religious sects as "unbelievers out to undermine its authority."

He has also consistently supported Saakashvili's concerted efforts to restore Georgia's territorial integrity. Consecrating the new national flag in January 2004, on the eve of Saakashvili's inauguration as president, Ilia vowed that "the territorial integrity of Georgia will be soon restored under the new national flag.... We will soon enter Sukhumi and Tskhinvali under this flag. This flag will unite the whole of Georgia."

Over the past two years, however, since the Georgian opposition protests against Saakashvili began in the fall of 2007, Ilia had distanced himself slightly from the Saakashvili leadership, calling for dialogue between the authorities and opposition parties, and urging police not to take action against fellow Georgians who stage protests against the Saakashvili regime.

And at a meeting on October 13 with representatives of the independent teachers' trade union, he implicitly criticized Saakashvili for precipitating the war with Russia in August 2008 that ended with Russia's formal recognition of Abkhazia and South Ossetia as independent states.

"This should not have happened and need not have happened," he said. "We had other ways of resolving those problems." When a ship is sailing on the open sea, the captain should know where the rocks are so the ship is not dashed against them and damaged, as Georgia has been, he continued.

Ilia met in December 2008 in Moscow with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, and said on his return to Tbilisi that they reached "quite positive and good agreements" that, however, require "careful and diplomatic follow-up."

In recent months, however, Medvedev has made increasingly clear that while Russia seeks good relations with Georgia, he personally will refrain from any contacts with Saakashvili, as he believes the latter "has committed crimes both against his own people and against the peoples of South Ossetia and Abkhazia."

-- Koba Liklikadze and Liz Fuller


Georgian Parliament Approves New Probe Into First President's Death 

Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili attends services ahead of the reburial of Zviad Gamsakhurdia in March 2007.

October 23, 2009

The Georgian parliament approved on October 20 a proposal by opposition deputy Djondi Baghaturia to form a commission that will conduct a repeat investigation into the circumstances surrounding the death of Zviad Gamsakhurdia in 1993. The commission will also deliver a formal "legal and political assessment" of the events that preceded Gamsakhurdia's violent ouster in early January 1992.

A Soviet-era dissident, Gamsakhurdia was elected president in May 1991, but fled Georgia seven months later following a coup by informal paramilitary groups, apparently with backing from Moscow. He took up residence in Grozny, from where he launched an abortive comeback attempt in September 1993 at the height of the war in Abkhazia. But he soon abandoned his march on Tbilisi, and died on December 31, 1993, in a remote village in western Georgia.

The Georgian authorities claimed he committed suicide; his widow Manana Archvadze-Gamsakhurdia insists he was murdered. His body was taken to Grozny for burial, but following the destruction of much of that city during two successive wars, the precise site of his grave became unclear. It was located in March 2007, and his body was reinterred in Tbilisi with full honors shortly afterwards.

The uncertainty about Gamsakhurdia's death persisted, however: a forensic examination undertaken in Grozny in March 2007 reportedly found two bullet holes in his skull. It is not clear whether his remains will again be exhumed for examination. Tengiz Sigua, who in 1993 was prime minister, said that the investigation of Gamsakhurdia's death conducted at the time proved inconclusive because his widow refused to allow a formal autopsy.

Eduard Shevardnadze, who in 1993 headed Georgia's ruling State Council, told the Russian daily "Vremya novostei" he welcomes the decision to conduct a new investigation that will lay to rest lingering speculation that he was behind Gamsakhurdia's death.

Giorgi Gamsakhurdia, the younger son of Gamsakhurdia and Archvadze-Gamsakhurdia, was quoted by Caucasus Press on October 23 as saying he is convinced that his father was murdered. He said be believes then-Georgian intelligence chief Igor Giorgadze masterminded the killing at the behest of Russian security services. Giorgadze fled Georgia 14 years ago after being accused of the failed attempt in August 1995 to assassinate Shevardnadze.

Some observers in Tbilisi have suggested that the new probe was intended as a sweetener to induce Konstantine Gamsakhurdia, Giorgi's older half-brother, to take up the parliament mandate he rejected last year to protest the perceived rigging of the early parliamentary ballot in May 2008. Konstantine Gamaskhurdia heads the small Tavisupleba (Liberty) party, which participated in the mass opposition protests launched in April with the aim of compelling President Mikheil Saakashvili to resign.

On October 23 Gamsakhurdia told journalists he will return to parliament. The other nine oppositionists who likewise rejected their parliament mandates have said they will not avail themselves of President Saakashvili's invitation to reconsider that decision.


Ingushetian Parliament Endorses Russian As Prime Minister 

Ingushetia's new prime minister, Aleksei Vorobyov addresses the republican National Assembly in Nazran on October 20.

October 20, 2009

Ingushetia's parliament voted on October 20 with only two abstentions to approve republican Security Council Secretary Aleksei Vorobyov as prime minister.

Ingushetian President Yunus-Bek Yevkurov had brought Vorobyov, a Federal Security Service (FSB) general, to Magas early this year, just months after he himself was named president, and selected him to serve as acting prime minister after he dismissed Rashid Gaysanov and the entire cabinet on October 5.

Gaysanov, 37, is an economist who served from late 1999-2002 as economy minister under President Ruslan Aushev, and then from 2006-08 on the staff of the Russian presidential envoy to the Southern Federal District. Yevkurov named him prime minister in November 2008.

Yevkurov's stated rationale for dismissing the cabinet was twofold: the failure of certain unnamed ministers to discharge their responsibilities, and corruption. He said the problem was not Gaysanov, but Gaysanov's infelicitous distribution of cabinet posts that obstructed the effective and coordinated functioning of the government as a whole.

Gaysanov admitted in a brief statement on October 6 that "there was much that we did not succeed in doing." At the same time, he listed as his cabinet's positive achievements maintaining stability (following the June 22 assassination attempt on Yevkurov) and drafting programs for resolving the most pressing socioeconomic problems.

Ingush opposition politician Magomed Khazbiyev, however, told the Russian daily "Kommersant" that he is convinced that Yevkurov's primary objective was to get rid of Gaysanov because of what Khazbiyev termed the latter's "inappropriate behavior" during the two months (from late June to late August) when Gaysanov assumed the post of acting president while Yevkurov was recuperating from the abortive attempt on his life.

Vorobyov's appointment is likely to intensify the rift within the small but vocal Ingush opposition. Khazbiyev, who heads the more radical wing, has gone on record as arguing that the republic's prime minister should be an Ingush, not a Russian.

"Who is Vorobyov? Where is he from? And what does he know about Ingushetia?" Khazbiyev asked rhetorically. "There are good lads in Ingushetia, and 10,000 Vorobyovs aren't capable of accomplishing what they could," he added.

By contrast, Maksharip Aushev of the moderate opposition faction that agreed to support and cooperate with Yevkurov positively assessed Vorobyov's track record since his appointment as Security Council head. Aushev described Vorobyov as "courageous" and "a professional who is well acquainted with the situation in the republic." He said he would support Vorobyov's candidacy as prime minister if Yevkurov proposed it.

Oksana Goncharenko of the Center for Political Forecasting has pointed out that Yevkurov was in a difficult position given the limited number of competent and trustworthy personnel to choose from within the republic (which has a total population of just over 500,000). But, she continued, if he therefore opts to bring in people he trusts from outside Ingushetia, with Moscow's support, there is no guarantee that they will prove capable of working side by side with the local political elite, especially given that Ingushetia remains "a traditional clan-based society."

Vorobyov now has until the end of October to select his new cabinet.


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