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Will U.S.-Russia Summit Finally Begin 'Reset'?

Likenesses of U.S. President Barack Obama (left) and his Russian counterpart, Dmitry Medvedev, on nesting dolls in Moscow

Last updated (GMT/UTC): 05.07.2009 09:44
By Gregory Feifer
U.S. President Barack Obama hopes to reinvigorate Washington's moribund relations with Moscow as he travels to Russia for his first summit meeting with Russian President Dmitri Medvedev on July 6.

But the two sides face serious divisions, and few are predicting the visit will produce anything close to a breakthrough.

Tensions have particularly mounted over Russia's military foray into Georgia, NATO expansion plans, and U.S. plans to deploy a missile-defense shield in Central Europe.

Vice President Joe Biden unveiled Washington's mantra for its new Russia policy at a security conference in Munich in February, saying "it's time to press the 'reset' button."

Best Intentions

Despite a previous meeting between the new U.S. leader and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev in April, Obama's debut summit meeting in Moscow is seen as the first major test of U.S. policy, the moment the button will -- or won't -- be pushed.

Obama is scheduled to see Medvedev on July 6 before meeting with Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, who still holds considerable power in the country and whom Obama recently accused of having "one foot" still planted firmly in the Cold War era, on July 7.

Washington has settled on arms control in its long-term strategy to draw Moscow into a new dialogue by stressing areas of mutual interest. Both sides say they want to reach a new deal by December to replace the 1991 START nuclear-arms treaty that expires this year.

U.S. Representative Robert Wexler (Democrat, Florida), who chairs the House subcommittee on foreign affairs with Europe, says a positive start on arms control could help with thornier issues.

He tells RFE/RL that whether on antimissile defense, Iranian nuclear activities, energy security, Georgia, or NATO issues, "all of these issues can hopefully be better addressed with a greater degree of trust than has been the case over the last several years."

Michael McFaul, the National Security Council's senior director for Russian and Eurasian Affairs, says Obama has no illusions about the yawning divide between Moscow and Washington.

"[Russian officials] think of the world in zero-sum terms," McFaul says. "The United States is considered an adversary...and they think that our number-one objective in the world is to make Russia weaker, to surround Russia, to do things that make us stronger and Russia weaker."

'Frank' Discussion

McFaul says Obama will demonstrate that's not the case by setting out American national interests "very explicitly" on issues such as NATO expansion.

"We're going to talk about them very frankly, as we did in April when we first met with President Medvedev, and then we're going to see if there are ways that we can have Russia cooperate on things we define as our national interests," McFaul says.

McFaul says Obama will seek to open a discussion not just with Medvedev and Putin but also with Russian society by taking part in meetings with business and civil society leaders.

Moscow says it wants better relations, too. But it's made clear the onus is on Washington to change its policies.

At the same time, the Kremlin has insisted on tough new conditions on an arms-control deal, and insists on linking a new arms deal to U.S. plans for a missile-defense system, which Washington maintains is a separate issue.

The summit will provide a report card on the progress of arms negotiations.

Sarah Mendelson of the Center for Strategic and International Studies says she doesn't expect "high grades," saying Washington's bid to repair relations with Moscow is a "gamble."

"The focus is really to try and give both the Russian government but also Russian society a platform to be able to see if there is the possibility of a new and different relationship," Mendelson says.

Preventing A Collapse?

The thorniest issue at the center of the current standoff between Moscow and Washington may be the NATO aspirations of U.S. allies Georgia and Ukraine. Moscow's invasion of Georgia last year sank relations with the West to Cold War lows.

The Kremlin continues to violate the French-brokered terms of the cease-fire by recognizing the independence of Georgia's pro-Moscow breakaway regions Abkhazia and South Ossetia, where Russia maintains thousands of troops.

The Russian military is currently conducting major exercises north of Georgia's border set to end the day Obama arrives in Moscow.

Foreign policy scholar Georgy Mirsky says such actions show Russia's leaders have no intention of improving relations.

"World outlook is different," Mirsky says. "I'm not sure if people like Putin and Medvedev and those around them really understand the workings of the American political system or really sincerely believe in the good intentions of Mr. Obama."

But Mirsky says that despite its anti-American rhetoric, Moscow does not want a real confrontation with Washington.

He says if anything, the summit may serve only to help prevent a complete collapse in relations.
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Comments page 2 of 2
by: Konstantin from: Los Angeles
July 07, 2009 08:15

To Sméagol:
If I understood your post as you intended it, you are right.
At first, make the World Opinion trial on Russia's treachery against other nations and crimes against Humanity.
At second, leave no bridges for Russian blackmails and intrigues - to make Russia return all land and property, repent and change its ways.
And finally take away from Russia any “gunpoint” advantage, but leave some of it to Human Civilization - to make Russia less arrogant.

Konstantin.

by: Sméagol
July 05, 2009 04:16
Let Russia's track record speak volumes. They are known for their dishonesty and treachery. A contract with the Russian government can only be enforced at gunpoint; It's their nature, I guess.

by: nit-picker
July 04, 2009 23:13
I really wonder what Putin needs nukes for, with Gazprom he can exert control over Europe from the North Cape to Gibraltar much better than even his great idol Josef Stalin could have dreamed of in his wildest dreams. As soon as Gazprom has taken over the exploitation of gas in North Africa and Nigeria, when the cooperation with Hugo Cháves really takes off, and as soon as Russian troops have reached Tbilisi and brought the Nabucco pipeline under Russian control (and we will see for how long they will tolerate Abkhazis's and South Ossetia's independence when they have installed a pro-Russian government in Tbilisi and they don't any longer serve a puropse), they will control energy supply to Europe to 90-100% and can dictate the EU policies. And all the EU offers Putin is appeasement. Looks like it would be good to emigrate to New Zealand after all (or do they too get their oil and gas from Gazprom?)

by: Zoltan from: Hungary
July 04, 2009 03:23
If we do not even try to understand motivations of Russians then we will fail to have a good relationship with them.

- Why the USA need to expand NATO to Ukraine or Georgia if the NATO itself is not diretced against Russia?
- If the NATO is not directed against Russia then why do not we invite Russia to join us?
- If the USA is not an enemy of Russia then why does the US so keen on supporting the Nabucco pipeline? It is simply not an American business.

Now let's have a look at on Russian interests:
- expanding NATO further until the Russian borders is not in the interest of Russia
- building alternative energy pipelines are not in the interest of Russia

So if we want a mutualy beneficial relationship with Russia then we should understand their position.

What should we do:
- invite Russia to join NATO (exactly a Russian participation contributes much more than a Ukrainian or Georgian one...)
- Europe should arrange a new long term energy pact with Russia - the EU has to talk on one single voice of course
- the US should abandon its useless missile shield plan
- the EU has to create a common economic space with Russia with no customs between the participants
- the EU has to abolish visa requirements against Russian citizens

These are the main things to do.

And a few other trust building steps like the following:
- nominate the next Cultural capital of Europe a Russian city (St.Peterburg, or Kazan - Kazan could give a perfect example how Muslims and Christians can live in peace and harmony)
- granting much more scholarships to Russian citizens in Europe and EU citizens in Russia - for better understanding each other
- invite Russia to join Eastern Partnership program - in a long term prospect to become EU member


Good intentions can result real breakthrough.

But to achieve this we need really good intentions not tricks and smiles.

by: alaverdi
July 04, 2009 02:19
It would be great if Russia had "reset" her ways and emerged as liberal country that we can negotiate with. I wish for 100% success of "reset-re-baptizing" of Russia but the evil within has very deep roots. I hope 1 in 100000000 that anything substantial can be agreed with the two-headed hawk supposedly charmed by olive branch offered from USA dove.
Putin-lavrov-Medvedev three headed fire (gas/oil) breathing dragon not interested in peace & St George is not in sight to save the fair maiden (Today it is Georgia , but tomorrow it can be Europe if A new pan-European security pact is signed.)

by: Konstantin from: Los Angeles
July 03, 2009 09:50
"Cold War low" is a good begining for the World (being lied for the last half Century by Russia and their Western supporters) - to analize the true history of the period.

"The Iron Curtain fall from Baltic through Adriatic" was missrepresented first by Cousin-Emperors's "loyalists" and than by Russian usurpers, like Khrutchev and alike, as misterious "Evil Stalin" and "Evil Parliament of non-Russian nations" in former USSR, and "scared by them Western Imperialists" doing, later modified to blaime Stalin and non-Russian nations for occupation and opression over Eastern European countries.
But the truth must be selfevident now - Russia still the same as it was before - patalogic hate for all nations arround them, including their own Russian population that the Varangians and Russian Empire desecrating and dying out for the last 11 centuries...
Yestarday Medvedev told to Russian new officers that "Russia is left along" and must rely only on its military "force" to be "Grate Russia"...

Today Russians boasting about ethnic Russians being best inventors in the World and that West usurped from them!

Do they mean guts of computers and electronics, "PALS", the logical arrays consepts, solutions and algorithms that Russian plagio-spies burglarized from my home in Kishinev and went to USA to patent it with help of greedy American Corporations and plagio-spies?
I am not a Russian!

Do they mean fast math-copprocessors and processors, the whole modern technology based on masks, my consepts, solutions and algoritms, that Russian plagio-spies burglarized from me in USA with participation of USA corporations and plagio-spies?
I am not a Russian!

Do they mean memory compression in communications and computers and the whole new age in electronic and computer technology, including Internet, for the last three decades that Russian plagio-spies burglarised from me in USA with participation of USA elite and plagio-agencies?
I am not a Russian!

Do they mean many other things in science and technology that Russians plagiarized from me and made famous in many areas, including partially stolen from me in part some LCD concepts and many other thing that Russia prizing itself for the last half century?
I am not a Russian!

It would explains the patalogic hate of Russia to all of us in the West and in the East - even beating Russians in chess game (like by Gaprindashvili or Cheburdanidze)or in a footboll game (like by Dinamo Tbilisi) would made Russia stink with nerve gas Cheremushka and genocidize on us and on the Whole Human Civilization and Caucasian race...

It is who was overturning governments in Poland after WW2.
It is whom Winston meant by stretching from "Baltic through Adriatic".

Konstantin.

by: Michael Averko
July 03, 2009 07:10
Michael McFaul isn't quoted for saying anything about those in the West, who view former Soviet space along the lines of a geopolitical chessboard, with Russia as the perceived foe. He has previously taken this kind of stance.

Note McFaul advocating the American government to be frank with their Russian counterpart. The reverse should be true as well.

Towards the end of the above article, mention is made of Russian military exercises in the former Georgian SSR, without noting such manner from Western forces in Georgia.

On the matter of "rhetoric," there remains a good deal of it against Russia.

As for "violating" the understanding reached on disputed former Communist bloc territories, note the push coming from leading Western countries to bypass UNSCR 1244, by recognizing the Albanian nationalist desire for an independent Kosovo.

by: Asclepius
July 03, 2009 04:14
The fate of the Russian people
is dependant on the ability of Vladimir and Dmitry to have the wisdom needed
to act responsibly. Frankly, I feel that they are both too bone-headed
and narrow minded. we'll see...
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