Thursday, May 24, 2012


Commentary

Waving The Banner Of Azerbaijan's New Oil Boom

Azerbaijani oil rigs in the Caspian Sea
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By Elnur Aslanov
Winston Churchill once said that "If oil is a queen, then Baku is her throne." Azerbaijan's oil wealth has a long and storied history. But its oil industry was born in the late 19th century. Initially dominated by British, Dutch, Swedish, and Russian companies, it later became a center of Soviet might. Azerbaijani oil fuelled Soviet tanks and aircraft during World War II and sated the domestic needs of the Soviet Union for decades.

Today, however, 20 years after Azerbaijan gained its independence, the country is experiencing a second oil boom. Only this time, Azerbaijan is in charge of its natural resources, and Azerbaijani citizens are reaping the benefits.

Oil To Education

The foundation of this boom was laid in 1994 when, despite resistance from many quarters Azerbaijan, managed to sign the "contract of the century" with leading oil companies. This document enabled the start of construction of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) oil pipeline in 2000.

This second oil boom has changed the geopolitical and geoeconomic situation in the South Caucasus. After the (BTC) oil pipeline, the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum gas pipeline was laid. Now the Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railway, which will link China and Paris, is under construction. In terms of geopolitics, these projects open new opportunities for Euro-Atlantic integration. In terms of geoeconomics, they strengthen globalization, bringing continents closer and improving Europe's energy security.

The South Caucasus region has been engulfed in the flames of ethno-political confrontation and interstate conflict for the past 20 years. Foreign-policy clashes can easily sink economic stability. Development policies in such a complex geopolitical situation, even with the help of petrodollars, do not always yield positive results.

It is important for Azerbaijan to transform its "black gold" into intellectual potential. Therefore, 5,000 young Azerbaijanis will be sent to study abroad between now and 2015 under a decree by President Ilham Aliyev. Public democratization and economic transformation begin with public awareness, and this understanding shapes the agenda of Azerbaijan's government.

Building democracy is a gradual process, and it must be considered in parallel with political and economic reforms. Former U.S. President Franklin Roosevelt's statement that "misery and freedom are incompatible" sums up the challenge that Azerbaijan faced a decade ago. Over recent years, a great deal of effort and energy has gone into making the Azerbaijani citizen financially independent.

'Neo-Azerbaijanism'

The country has been strengthened economically. In the past six to seven years, the poverty rate has been brought down from 49 percent to 11 percent. More than 900,000 new jobs have been created, 600,000 of them permanent. And some 5,000 new enterprises have started up.

Azerbaijan does not spend its petrodollars on increasing wages or social benefits that could lead to serious inflationary consequences. In the nearest future, Azerbaijan will become an international aid donor.

This is just a short list of the prospects that have been opened up by the second oil boom. These are not just words, but a record of real action.

Recently, the world's biggest flag (70 by 35 meters) was raised on the world's tallest unsupported flagpole (162 meters) in Baku. This is not only a sign of our economic strength, which allows us to implement such projects. This is neo-Azerbaijanism, which is present in the country's new politics, economy, and socio-cultural life. The world's tallest flagpole symbolizes a new understanding of the inner spirit and power of our national identity and a reassessment of Azerbaijan's place in the global context. Today it is clear that we are no longer just a bridge. From now on, we are a center of regional politics -- and this will form the basis of Azerbaijan's foreign policy for the coming decades.

Elnur Aslanov is chief of the Political Analyses and Information Support Department at the Office of the President of Azerbaijan and the author of "Globalization And National Development Strategy" (2006). The views expressed in this commentary are the author's own and do not necessarily reflect those of RFE/RL
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by: Bernard from: Baku, Azerbaijan
September 16, 2010 18:14
Azerbaijan must liberate its occupied territories from Armenian and Russian troops. The occupation of Karabagh does not allow Azerbaijan to go forward and fill its full potential.
In Response

by: Donovan from: PA
September 16, 2010 22:39
Occupied by Russian troops? You are misinformed. Nagorno-Karabach Republic is not guarded by Russian soldiers but by Armenians. "Liberation" of Christians by Shiites, you mean? But your country already tried that and keeps going at it, constantly breaking the ceasefire. Did your soldiers ever see any Russians there?
In Response

by: Alerter from: Glendale
September 17, 2010 06:12
Very soon this page will be littered with the comments of the users from the microscopic but, nevertheless, unproportionally jealous country who are burning inside from their envy that Azerbaijan develops so fast and leaves their loosy country far behind. They can do nothing but come to the commentary field of the articles on Azerbaijan and leave their stinking and dirty comments. They will write how their predecessors lived in Karabakh before the dinosaurs and how Ashot The Long Nose first discovered America.
In Response

by: John Harduny from: Reston, VA
September 17, 2010 19:03
If Azerbaijanis want to invent the bicycle they are free to do so. Petro-dictatorships misusing their oil revenues and becoming unsustainable nationalistic as a result is an old story with a sad ending. Investing oil money in preparing the world's biggest flag - which was ripped to pieces minutes after being raised - is one illustrative example of petro-idiocy.
In Response

by: Taxpayer from: USA
September 17, 2010 22:37
This warning is too late - everybody can see that the Secret Armenian Fraction of RFERL already started its work by picking a picture of the dirty third world reality of Baku's outskirts as an illustration for this article. They could publish the picture of the torn symbol of Azerbaijan's territorial integrity - the largest in the world Azeri flag, but noticed how the smart author of this article decided to talk only about "the tallest flagpole." These who want to know why he's numb about the flag that was supposed to be on this flagpole can type in "Azerbaijan's huge flag torn apart" in Youtube's search window.
In Response

by: Alex from: Seattle
September 20, 2010 03:50
I enjoy these little comments, how Azeris say we're burning with jealousy at their country's "advancements" and so forth. Please. Jealous of what? A kleptomaniacal petro-dictatorship who's legitimizes his autocratic rule with a stint of economic prosperity? A prosperity that does not reach the country's impoverished because their "president" would rather spend oil revenues on the world's largest flag (which failed), the military, and multi-million dollar mansions in Dubai? The oil industry is also harming Azerbaijan's environment in unimaginable ways. Birth defects, high cancer rates, a lower life-expectancy rate. Yeah, we're fuming with envy.
In Response

by: Bernardine from: Gantzak NorthernArtsakh.
September 17, 2010 22:42
Armenia and Iran WILL liberate their respective occupied territories from tatar gangsters/aka northern azerbaijanis turks. . The existence criminal northern azeri turks and it head honcho sultan aliev and it's cesspool fiefdom will not let the region make progress and realize its full potential.

by: RD
September 16, 2010 19:39
Yes, raising the world's biggest flag, which was ripped right after it was raised, is a sign of a country's success.

by: John Harduny from: Reston, VA
September 16, 2010 19:58
WAVING THE BANNER OF LAUGHABLE NONSENSE

Again, RFERL is publishing an opus by Azerbaijan’s chief propagandist—a PR agent of one of the most corrupt Muslim oil dictatorship in the world. Aslanov’s text is a standard bombastic nonsense that Azerbaijan’s sultanistic autocrat-for-life Ilham “Papa’s Boy” Aliyev is feeding its people around the clock. RFERL’s leadership should be investigated for corruption: this service is supposed to promote human rights and the rule of law, not those who abuse human rights.

by: Nareg Seferian from: Armenia/US
September 17, 2010 03:53
This article reeks of propaganda. It isn't reporting, it isn't information for the public, it is simply state rhetoric straight out of Baku. I am upset that RFE/RL chose to publish it. There are plenty of other outlets through which those seeking such information may acquire declarations on and justifications of Azerbaijani policy. I do not visit RFE/RL's website for this kind of writing.
In Response

by: Taxpayer from: USA
September 17, 2010 22:19
Well, Nareg,

in such hard economic times anything helps. Recently there was a report that Ilham Aliyev's Presidential Administration paid $26,000 to publish a similar article in a small newspaper in the United Sates. The lobbying firm registered as an agent of this foreign government promptly indicated this fact in their public disclosure report. Now we know the going rate for American journalism in Azeri manats.

by: Jealous Armo from: Yerevan
September 17, 2010 21:11
What a lovely photo. No need to write about the Azeri oil boom. We can now see its results with our own eyes.
In Response

by: Anonymous
September 18, 2010 13:38
Well BP is known for creating such stunning landscapes.
In Response

by: Mahir from: York
September 20, 2010 08:53
Yes you are really jealous!!!

by: Henrik Dumanian from: USA
September 18, 2010 05:37
Ha! If it were only true Mr. Aslanov.

The truth is that this article is mainly a propaganda blitz organized by the Aliyev administration as a response to a number of devastating reports from Washington think-tanks, most notably the International Crisis Group (which, ironically, has many, many, many Turkish and Azerbaijani funders). Here's a direct quote: "Oil revenues have further entrenched a stagnant political system, making it even more resistant to reforms. But the oil revenues are levelling off and are projected to gradually decline within a few years, which could lead to economic problems and growing public frustration. The closed political system prevents meaningful debate on Azerbaijan’s long-term challenges and stimulates a sense of apathy and distrust. To protect state stability, a start on economic and political reform is essential."

That's coming from a group whose pro-Turkic bias runs deep. The oil in Azerbaijan is drying up soon and everybody is coming to the realization that Azerbaijan has very little to offer the world. It's an open secret even in the Turkish national security establishment: once Azeri oil loses its strategic importance, the Turks will jump at the chance to de-link the conflict with Armenia (a problem that has become VERY difficult for them to contain).

I'm not here to argue a nationalistic line, but until this monopolistic and oligarchic (and clan-like, see the Yerazi clan) system of government is loosened, the oil boom will continue to act as what it always has been: a great, giant excuse for the Azerbaijani people and its government to NOT act on political reforms. Even a backward country like Armenia is light years ahead; by the time Azerbaijan starts the world will have moved on.

by: Donovan from: PA
September 18, 2010 16:58
This propaganda piece is full of fantasy (I like the photo of Baku slums, though).
Quote: "the Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railway, which will link China and Paris, is under construction."
YOu can't be serious. Assuming China and Paris wanted to be linked, have they been waiting for this railway to be built? Next thing you will say Baku is a bridge connecting East and West.
About the petrodollars- when oil is at $70/ barrell for two years now, it will take much more oil than you have to even break even, let alone make a profit. Azerbaijani oil is deep under the Caspian sea and therefore expensive to extract.
And the 5,000 students that will be sent to the West- try to make sure 20% of them return home, instead of pursuing a second and a third degree to prolong their stay abroad. Not easy to do- even China can't find a way. But why export them here, Azerbaijan still does not have decent universities?

Watch World's biggest flag. Pathetic.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Z48m4TIACw&feature=related

by: Jurkynas from: Lithuania
September 20, 2010 09:23
I am from Lithuania, and i been to Azerbaijan several times in my life. and loved this country very much, every time when i am visiting Azerbaijan, i am seeing a lot development and changes which are the results of successful development in economy and internal policy.
In Response

by: Ferhat from: Istanbul
September 21, 2010 17:02
Perhaps you are blindly unaware of the true nature of Aliyev's regime.

by: Ben from: France
September 20, 2010 16:43
after 3 years working and living in Azerbaijan I hate this country more than anything else, the corruption and all the self satisfied people who claim it's a nice country; whoever likes life and freedom should never live there
concerning NK conflict, it is just a way to focus the attention of the population on something else than its own poverty;
'Azerbaijan does not spend its petrodollars on increasing wages or social benefits that could lead to serious inflationary consequences' when all the spendings in public infrastructure have lead to an incredible rate of inflation during the years 2007, 2008 and 2009 and when the cost of the highway from Baku to the airport reports to be more than 10 times the normal cost for a low quality concrete road? maybe it would be better to increase the wages and the social benefits for the people, including the pensions which are around 100 Euros per month in a country where the cost of living and the cost of corruption is much higher than in Europe.
I'll never go back there and I m so happy to have left this country

by: Jean Citroen from: New Orleans, Louisiana
September 21, 2010 04:51
I am not sure what prompted RFE/RL publish such an obvious low-quality propaganda piece by the Azerbaijani government's spokesman Elnur Aslanov. But if I did not know any better, I could have thought this is a page from the website of the Azerbaijani ruling party's official newspaper, or one of the many state-controlled ".az" portals. In a country where the president has been caught red-handed with buying a $45 million mansion for his 11-year old son, and the president's daughter has been exposed with investing tens of millions of dollars to take control of a major bank (both would take hundreds of years of president’s official salary), the chief of "Propaganda Department" of President’s administration shamelessly speaks about “making the Azerbaijani citizen financially independent”. In reality, the policies of the corrupt Aliyev dynasty have achieved only financial independence of the ruling family from its own people (and the pressure from the US and other Western countries, as we can see).

What is even more appalling is that the author cites president Roosevelt ("misery and freedom are incompatible") to justify the brutal repressions of the Aliyev regime against journalists, bloggers and dissidents. Can Mr. Aslanov cite any instance of president Roosevelt using economic misery of the great depression to put in jail his political opponents, ban radio broadcasts, and rig elections? Or maybe Mr. Roosevelt used the financial hardships to pass the “throne” of presidency to his son?

Ironically, the flag raised by Ilham Aliyev on the world’s tallest flagpole, costing over $38 million dollars to Azerbaijani people and, probably, used as another useless corrupt mega-project for stealing state oil revenues by the ruling clan, was torn apart by a typical Baku wind the very next day. Perhaps they should have used at least some of that money to buy a decent material for the flag. Or maybe in a country where most people live in poverty, where hundreds of thousands of refugees can not return to their native lands, and where three-thinkers and internet bloggers are kept in jail – it was not a good time to raise such a giant flag anyway?
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