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EU Reviews Cooperation With The South Caucasus

Swedish Foreign Minister Carl Bildt: ''I think we have overall a very good atmosphere.''

October 26, 2009
By Ahto Lobjakas
BRUSSELS -- After years of cultivating bilateral ties with the three South Caucasus countries, the European Union is now looking to inject a new, regional dynamic into the relationship.

Swedish Foreign Minister Carl Bildt, speaking for the current EU Presidency, said the bloc has a "common approach" for the region that takes account of the "individual preparedness" of the different countries.

The emphasis in Bildt's remarks after today's series of meetings between the EU and the three foreign ministers -- which culminated in a joint press conference -- was distinctly on the region, rather than on individual countries.

"I think we have overall a very good atmosphere between the European Union and the region," Bildt said.

In practice, this means the three countries find themselves in relatively similar starting positions as the EU prepares to launch talks with them in November on new association agreements. None can realistically hope for EU membership in the foreseeable future, but all three can qualify for free trade and visa-free travel arrangements with the EU in the long term.

All are members of the EU's Neighborhood Policy and its Eastern Partnership scheme, which seek to promote technical cooperation and political contacts.

No Longer Front-Runner

Behind the scenes, EU officials make it clear that Georgia no longer enjoys front-runner status in the region. All three governments have serious problems with democratic standards, harbor prisoners of conscience, and harass free media in their countries.

Nevertheless, all three countries have very different political agendas, something which they sought to impress on the EU throughout the meetings today.

Armenia, which was the first to sit down this morning with Bildt and the EU's external relations commissioner, Benita Ferrero-Waldner, has limited aims when it comes to political cooperation. The country is Russia's closest ally in the region, and it is looking to the EU for mostly technical assistance and financial aid.

Eduard Nalbandian, Armenia's foreign minister, stressed the particular attraction of visa-free travel arrangements with the EU for Yerevan.

"In the course of our discussions, I also highlighted the importance that we attach to the facilitation of people-to-people contacts and visa arrangements for our citizens," he said.

Although all three South Caucasus countries are keen to escape the EU visa requirement, a number of powerful member states, led currently by Spain, resist the idea.

The EU today welcomed the recent agreement between Armenia and Turkey to normalize relations. But the EU played no direct role in the rapprochement, which was chaperoned by the United States and Russia.

There is a small "advisory group" of EU experts working with a number of Armenian ministries, but the impact of their presence is expected to be negligible. After an high-level EU judicial assistance mission achieved very little in Georgia in 2004, the bloc has grown increasingly pessimistic about its ability to transform the three governments.

'Core Of The Issue'


Azerbaijan remains most concerned about the presence of Armenian troops in the disputed territory of Nagorno-Karabakh and a number of adjoining Azeri districts. Elmar Mammadyarov, the country's foreign minister, raised the issue today at the press conference.

"We believe strongly that the core of the issue, if we want to achieve peace and stability in the region, is the withdrawal of Armenian forces from the occupied territories, which is definitely the core if we want to bring sustainable and durable peace and development to the region," he said.

Azerbaijan has had relatively good relations with the EU. Brussels regards Baku as a crucial link in its energy diversification plans, which rest on the hope of reaching out to the Central Asian countries.

But Baku has been rattled by the Armenian-Turkish rapprochement, and today Mammadyarov spoke at some length about the "different options" of supplying gas to EU markets without once mentioning the EU's Nabucco pipeline expected to link Azerbaijan via Turkey to an pipeline hub in Austria by 2015.

The EU is keen to speed up Azerbaijan's accession to the World Trade Organization, something it sees as important in developing energy cooperation with the country.

Georgia, meanwhile, remains preoccupied by Russia's virtual annexation of Abkhazia and South Ossetia in the wake of the war between the two countries in August 2008.

Foreign Minister Grigol Vashadze stressed the importance his government attaches to continued EU support on this issue.

"We are thankful to the European Union for its unwavering support for our territorial integrity, independence and sovereignty," Vashadze said. "We drew the attention of our colleagues to the fact that Russia is fulfilling none of the obligations it voluntarily has undertaken under the August 12, 2008 agreement [the so-called Sarkozy-Medvedev accord]."

The EU is a key mediator at the Geneva talks between Tbilisi, Moscow, and the two de facto separatist governments.

Like Armenia, Georgia has put visa-free travel and free trade at the top of its EU wish list. Political reforms have been moved to the back burner, as the country's increasingly restrictive president, Mikheil Saakashvili, has accumulated an estimated 200 political prisoners and taken over the country's most influential media outlets.

Today, Vashadze thanked the EU for its "ideas and suggestions" aimed at "increasing the quality of Georgia's democracy," and promised that Tbilisi will make "extensive" use of the bloc's expertise in the field.
     
Comments
by: Elvin Mejidov from: Sweden
November 06, 2009 09:47
Jim, having read through your so called EU-''SoCauc'' cooperation text, I conluded that you barely possess the satisfactory theoretical knowledge, and also practice in the three countries. Interestingly, you mention the following, which would not be supported by an expert on South Caucasus politics: ''Turkish-Russian cooperation in the aftermath of WWI ended up having catastrophic consequences for Armenia and Georgia, which were made to cede 60% and 25% of their native territories to Turkey and Azerbaijan''. I would like to ask you to prove this ''hypothesis'' with some practical cases, if any.
In the spirit of your ''paper'', I can say that you know nothing about the politics on the ground of the occupation of 20% of the territory of Azerbaijan. If we take into account your argument, then it would mean that Turkish-Russian cooperation in the region has been directed to massive separatism, which is indeed a deliberate LIE. This also indicates your lack of knowledge on historical and current relations between Azerbaijan and Turkey, and rationale for inherent positive pace of relations between the two.

by: Orhan Ertugruloglu from: the Netherlands
October 30, 2009 10:14
Members of opposition in Georgia are convicted in fabricated trials. The number of political prisoners have risen after months of successive rallies at the beginning of this year against Mikhail Saakhasvili. Nora Kvistsiani is an example of such a fabricated trial. She is the sister of the leader of a police force that existed in a mountainous Georgian region of Abkhazia. Nora's brother went to hiding in 2006 after resisting attempts by the government to disarm the force. His sister was arrested and convicted for illegally possesing arms, stealing humanitarian aid and commanding an armed group. She was sentenced to a six and a half years imprisonment. A state inspection revealed that no humanitarian aid had been stolen, and it was never proven that the arms discovered belonged to her.

by: geo from: 45km offshore New England
October 30, 2009 04:18
Jim and Randolf -

Both fair points and arguments. Yes Georgia should have EU support and be enticed with regional economic incentives and opportunities just like for anyone else. Of course it should have the right to arm itself for self-defense, like anyone else in the region. Should EU and west interfere however, in attempt to influence positive actions within Georgia? That is the debate..

Randolf, I hear you about supporting visa-related economic carrots to reward regional dialogue and stability. Agreed. I'm curious as to your desired EU policy reform, vis-a-vis Balkans policy?

by: Randolph from: UK
October 28, 2009 18:18
I think Jim Simitis from Florida should not throw such extremest comments that smell with anti-turkish/anti-azerbaijani sentiments and I would like to question the sources of his regional knowledge.

Having worked in all 3 countries, I can claim that the best EU can do is to offer visa-free travel to all 3 of them in exchange for serious dialog aimed at ending the intra-regional hostility. Needless to say that EU must not repeat mistakes it continues to commit in Balkans.

by: J from: US
October 27, 2009 03:04
Look at that face! That's what South Caucasus was missing, people with faces like that giving unsolicited suggestions

by: Jim Simitis from: Florida
October 26, 2009 17:23
Anthon, EU either lacks the proper political analysts or is just plain unable to have an effective foreign policy, a prime example is EU’s policies vis a vis Russia and Turkey in the South Caucasus. History tells us when Turkey and Russia interests’ coincides and they happen to cooperate on a specific issue in SoCauc, smaller countries of the region suffer significantly. Pretty much like Soviet Union German cooperation before WWII costing Poland and others dearly. We saw the prime example last year when Turkey virtually backed Russia in dismembering Georgia, many Turkish maps today shamelessly show Georgia’s Ajaria region as in Turkey. We all know that Batumi has become de facto a Turkish outpost; these maps simply de jure reinstate the fact on the ground. Furthermore, Turkey has been strongly backing Abkhazia all along and is the largest trading partner of this irredentist region. It’s currently a doom’s day for Armenia with regards to Turkish-Armenian rapprochements which was made possible by the strong support of Russia. We all saw how Russian FM made the Armenian FM sign the protocols at the last moment in Zurich. Same Turkish-Russian cooperation in the aftermath of WWI ended up having catastrophic consequences for Armenia and Georgia, which were made to cede 60% and 25% of their native territories to Turkey and Azerbaijan. Needless to say the real game is over Azerbaijan (for a few years until its natural resources deplete). Azerbaijan is in deed a landlocked country and it desperately needs to export its oil either through Georgia or Armenia or lose its sovereignty to Russia because that’s the only other way to export anything out of the region. Given higher standards of democratization and European values in both Georgia and Armenia, EU must strongly support both and encourage them to form a GeArm trading block with unified customs and de facto protectorate of EU status. Both countries need EU’s strong military-political support to break away from Russian/Turkish nightmare which would lead to disastrous consequences for both nations and EU. GeArm will be the MAIN and the ONLY RELIABLE east-west and south-north corridor connecting MidEast, Asia and Europe. This is not possible without unwavering support of EU. First step would be to make Armenia and Georgia work together and integrate into European structures simultaneously, and fast.
     
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