Saturday, August 27, 2016


'Pragmatic' EU Keeps Belarus Sanctions In Suspension

Sweden's Foreign Minister Carl Bildt, speaking for the current EU Presidency, said that "we are still in a period of engaging with authorities in Belarus to try to move them further in the direction of European values."
Sweden's Foreign Minister Carl Bildt, speaking for the current EU Presidency, said that "we are still in a period of engaging with authorities in Belarus to try to move them further in the direction of European values."
By Ahto Lobjakas
BRUSSELS -- EU foreign ministers have decided that the bloc will extend for another year its dual approach in dealing with Belarus, applying sanctions on the one hand but simultaneously suspending them on the other.

A draft EU declaration, seen by RFE/RL, said the bloc would maintain the sanctions -- mainly travel bans leveled against top Belarusian officials, which were first imposed in the wake of the country's flawed March 2006 presidential elections, and then suspended in large part in October 2008. The policy was made formal on the second day of a two-day foreign ministers meeting in Brussels.

But even as it maintains the status quo in its relationship with Minsk, the EU is prepared to offer some encouragement as well. Brussels is offering Belarus talks on easing EU visa rules, as well as the more distant prospect of negotiating a new bilateral cooperation accord.

Sweden's Foreign Minister Carl Bildt, speaking for the current EU Presidency, announced the decision after the meeting in Brussels.

"We have prolonged the sanctions, but we have suspended their application. That is, we are still in a period of engaging with authorities in Belarus to try to move them further in the direction of European values," Bildt said.

He also indicated that the EU did not expect quick advances in Belarus's democratic record. "I can easily say we are disappointed with the pace of progress, but we have not given up yet." Bildt went on to quip that "Scandinavian-style democracy" was unlikely to be achieved by Belarus "by next Wednesday."

Little Improvement

The text of the EU decision paints a balanced picture of Belarus's progress -- and lack thereof -- since the bloc's stick-and-carrot policy was put in place a year ago.

The decision to relax EU sanctions on Belarus was made in October 2008, in the wake of the Russia-Georgia war. At the time, the EU feared Russia might attempt to bring other neighbors under its sway. EU overtures to Belarus followed, and the country was invited to join the EU's Eastern Partnership in April this year.

In recounting Belarus's recent advances, the EU welcomed the release of political prisoners and Minsk's agreement to participate in various kinds of dialogue with Brussels, including talks on the human rights situation in the country.

EU officials have also welcomed steps by Minsk to introduce a degree of media freedom and the willingness of President Alyaksandr Lukashenka's regime to take international advice on electoral reform.

The new EU statement says there needs to be more progress in bringing Belarus's electoral laws in line with international standards. Freedom of expression, assembly, and political association must also be strengthened.

The declaration notes that there has been little "recent" progress, and "regrets" continued crackdowns on peaceful political protests and the continued refusal by the authorities to register "many political parties, nongovernmental organizations, and independent media."

Belarusian authorities refuse to register Belarusian Christian Democracy, an opposition political party created in February 2009.

On October 16 in Minsk, police cracked down on a demonstration of solidarity with the families of disappeared politicians in Belarus. All of the participants in the demonstration were herded by policemen onto a bus and detained; some of them were harshly beaten.

The EU statement also notes with regret recent death sentences imposed in Belarus. In the most recent case, the Belarusian Supreme Court in October rejected an appeal from Andrey Zhuk to commute the death sentence imposed on him earlier this year. It is estimated that since 1997, Belarus has executed more than 160 people sentenced to death.

Tentative Offer

The EU declaration also includes a promise that travel restrictions on top Belarusian officials could be lifted "at any time, in light of actions by the Belarusian authorities in the sphere of democracy and human rights." However, the statement also makes it clear the reverse also applies -- the continued suspension of the ban is conditional on Minsk's willingness to cooperate with the EU.

EU External Relations Commissioner Benita Ferrero-Waldner said she strongly hoped the Belarusian authorities would accept the EU's gesture of "pragmatic" goodwill.

"I hope that Belarus will use that, will take it up, and I also hope that these reform plans indeed can provide good incentives for more moves toward democracy in Belarus and reflect [the] somewhat more pragmatic [EU] approach for which I myself particularly have always [pressed]," she said.

Ferrero-Waldner said "some" EU member states continue to feel Belarus has done too little to deserve more EU concessions. This is a reference to behind-the-scenes discussions in Brussels over the past few weeks that accompanied the drafting of the new statement. During these discussions, Germany, Italy, Spain, Greece, and a few other countries arguing for a thaw in EU-Belarus relations lined up against Britain and the Netherlands.

The outcome is a compromise where the sanctions and their suspension are both extended for their maximum term and a highly tentative offer is held out to Minsk to begin talks on visa liberalization. Also, the EU for the first time is formally testing the waters with regard to a negotiating a new cooperation treaty with Minsk.

Meanwhile, the EU is offering a "joint interim plan to set priorities for reforms, inspired by the action plans developed in the framework of the European Neighborhood Policy."

This compromise appears to enjoy the tacit support of Poland, Belarus's closest EU neighbor. Jacek Protasiewicz, a European Parliament deputy, said on November 13 the parliament's delegation for EU-Belarus relations supports the ministers' two-pronged approach.

Protasiewicz said it was too early to lift the sanctions altogether, but also noted their suspension is necessary for further advances in EU-Belarusian relations.

"There is still a chance for some changes, for some reforms, as well as introducing a new area of cooperation between the European Union and the Belarusian people -- not only the Belarusian authorities -- particularly [when it comes to ] the visa regime," Protasiewicz said.

"If the sanctions are, once again, imposed, there [will be] no chance of having a PCA [Partnership and Cooperation Agreement] or any kind of legal agreement between the European Union and Belarus on which basis we could build a new, more liberalized visa regime for Belarusian citizens."

Protasiewicz said that the current situation where Belarusians have to pay nearly twice as much for Schengen visas to the EU as Moldovans, Ukrainians, and Russians, is "very unfair."
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Comment Sorting
by: Ethan S. Burger from: Washington, D.C.
November 22, 2009 14:02
The European Union's so-called "carrot & stick" policy toward Belarus is bound to fail.

In fact, the analogy "carrot & stick" is wrongly invoked. The use of a "carrot & stick" entails tying a carrot to the edge of a stick so that a donkey or a mule will move forward. The carrot is unobtainable and the stick is not used as a tool to stap the animal if it does not move in the right direction.

I would suggest that people outside the countries view YouTube videos about Belarus to see for themselves the nature of the regime there and how Mr. Lukashenka can quashe his opponents. The politicians and bureaucrats in the EU countries should maintain no illusions about conditions in Belarus.

The EU de minimis demands on his manner on rule, is only prolonging/strengthening him. Its motives are complex: to contain Russian expansionism, prevent future interruptions of Russian natural gas export and to obtain a new (albeit small) market for Western goods -- combined with the naive hope that Belarus will evolve into a normal European country. Forging a dialogue is a means to an end and not an end in itself.

Yes, there is bread on the table for the average Belarusian, but at what cost. The World Bank's and IMF's activities involving Belarus are misguided and at best amoral, only naive individuals would expect otherwise. Both institutions' officials should also be required to watch YouTube videos about Mr. Lukashenka's rule before starting their work day.

Mr. Lukashenka divide and conquer repression in Belarus has succeeded -- he has consolidated his power with the help of a network of informers, an active KGB, and other armed forces to deal with demonstrators. Thus he need not fear being overthrown to the same extent prior to the "disappearances" of Victor Gonchar and Yuri Zakhaenko.

But is the statute of limitations for murder? I believe it is indefinite and his destruction of Belarus' governmental system means that Mr. Lukashenka's presidency will remain illegitimate.

There is an old saying that it takes only a few charismatic persons to turn a
Belarus is a demographic nightmare experiencing a brain drain. Yes, it exports, software, potash and petroleum products, but its goods cannot compete in the global market place. Its "skilled" work force is largely aging and it lacks access to the latest technologies. It cannot develop its own.

The West should maintain "targeted sanctions" on Belarus -- visa bans on travel in EU countries by officials, combined with an embargo on the sale of luxury items and a prohibition of Belarusian individuals and companies (with certain exceptions) from being to open up bank accounts in the West.

Without a policy with some backbone, the EU is an accessory to Mr. Lukshanka's continued rule. The leadership of the EU members underestimate their strength with respect to both Mr. Lukashenka and Putinesque Russia policies. It is not only misguided, it is shameful.

Fortunately, Mr. Lukashenka is not immortal, but it took Spain many years to move from the Spanish Civil War to the post-Frano era. Most individuals concerned about civil liberties and human rights for the Belarusian people do not wish to wait as long.

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