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Ukrainian Election Heading To Tough February 7 Runoff

Viktor Yanukovych enters his party's headquarters in Kyiv on election day.
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By Gregory Feifer
KYIV -- The top two finishers in Ukraine's presidential election appear to be headed for a tough runoff vote on February 7.

With some 90 percent of the ballots counted in preliminary results, pro-Moscow Viktor Yanukovych leads with 35.4 percent of the vote, followed by Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko with nearly 25 percent.

Former central bank chief Serhiy Tihipko is in third with 13 percent.

Outgoing President Viktor Yushchenko, who was swept to power in the 2004 Orange Revolution, received only around 5 percent.

Western election observers called the polls a resounding success, with Joao Soares, president of the OSCE Parliamentary Assembly, calling it "a very good election" and a positive indicator of Ukraine's democratic future.

Observers said they detected virtually no instances of fraud across the entire country.

Matyas Eorsi, the head of the Council of Europe's observer delegation, said Ukraine deserves "enormous congratulations," although he did note a tendency among the candidates to play "with the rules, not by the rules" in the run-up to the vote.

Tymoshenko had repeatedly accused rival Yanukovych before the vote of organizing "a large-scale falsification" through large numbers of absentee ballots and other methods.

The official results so far differ from the country's most respected exit polls, which gave Tymoshenko a significantly better result, within 4 percentage points of Yanukovych.

At Tymoshenko's campaign headquarters last night, supporters applauded as the Orange Revolution heroine entered a packed press room. Wearing a chic white dress and with her hair impeccably styled in her trademark blond braid crown, Tymoshenko appeared confident of victory.

At the podium, she displayed the kind of decisiveness Ukrainians say they desperately want after five years of political crisis and endless infighting among the Orange Revolution's estranged leaders.

'Path Of Struggle'

Tymoshenko said the results showed a majority of people want Ukraine to be a free, democratic country.

"The chances for Yanukovych -- who represents criminal circles -- [of becoming president] simply don't exist," she said.

Yulia Tymoshenko before a press conference at her campaign headquarters in Kyiv today
Tymoshenko said as president, she would never allow Ukraine to turn from the path it chose during the Orange Revolution.

"It's the path of struggle for the revival of justice, the struggle for our European choice, toward the renewal of democracy," she said.

Tymoshenko appealed to Ukrainians who had voted for other candidates, saying she would carry out what had eluded the country's Orange leaders since they came to power.

"The democratic forces will be united," she said. "We will do everything so that in the future they will act in a single and powerful force to move the country toward European civilization."

Many Ukrainians say they're disillusioned by politics that have been hamstrung by the bickering between Tymoshenko and her former ally, Yushchenko.

The infighting deepened even as corruption ballooned and the economy was devastated by the effects of the global financial crisis.

'Voted For Change'

Speaking in a massive, wood-paneled room at his own hotel headquarters next door to Tymoshenko's, Yanukovych -- the villain of the Orange Revolution, which drove him from power after street demonstrations against his victory in a tainted presidential election five years ago -- said the official results would enable him to win the presidency in the second round.
 
"Our citizens voted for change. They made it clear their views require transformation for the better -- that's the main result," he said.
 
Yanukovych's main support is in the industrial, largely Russian-speaking east of the country. He returned to an issue that helped make him popular there when he first rose to prominence, vowing as president he would make sure Ukraine would never join NATO.

"The Ukrainian state will remain outside any bloc. Ukraine will never join any military alliance," he said. "That's the view of the Ukrainian people, it must be respected and taken into account."

Negotiations Under Way

Both Tymoshenko and Yanukovych will have a hard time convincing Ukrainians who voted for the 16 losing candidates to support them.

Backroom negotiations had already begun on election day itself.

Unlike Tymoshenko, Yanukovych has less room to maneuver. Analysts say he can't be certain any besides the small number of communist and socialist voters will join his supporters.

Besides the intense horse-trading, most expect the coming weeks to be fraught with fraud allegations and court cases.

But in cold and snowy Kyiv last night, Tymoshenko's supporters were giddy with the prospect that she appears set to be crowned Ukraine's new leader.

The election included some allegations of voting irregularities, but reports say the voting appears to have gone relatively smoothly. Voter turnout is reported as 67 percent.
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by: Political Dissident
January 18, 2010 08:46
It'll be interesting to see the second round support that Tymoshenko and Yanukovych can each muster for themselves, among the other first round candidates.

by: David from: Spain
January 18, 2010 09:49
The only instance in which you use the form "Yanukovich" in this article must be a typo. However, I take advantage of the occasion to put into question whether it is wise to write "Yanukovych" when talking about this candidate (especially when one hears him speak Ukrainian...).
In Response

by: Moderator from: Prague
January 18, 2010 10:59
The typo has been fixed. Thanks.

by: Political Dissident
January 18, 2010 12:36
There's no error.

The Party of Region's site spells his name "Yanukovych."

Tymoshenko's site spells her name as "Tymoshenko."

On other such matters, I tend to spell the main Galician town as "Lviv" instead of "Lvov."

On the other hand, I stick to "Kiev" and "Kharkov." The exception is to the spelling preferences of orgs. like the "Kyiv Post."

I'm not into politically correct extremism, while exhibiting a reasonable amount of respect - which should be a two way street.


by: Political Dissident
January 18, 2010 12:46
Upon another glance, I now fully understand what was pointed out.

BTW, there's at least one Ukrainian Greek Catholic Church using the spelling of "St. Vladimir's" instead of "St. Volodomyr's."


by: cherkasy5 from: Lviv
January 18, 2010 15:13

This article by Gregory Feifer (smearing Yanukovich as "pro-Moscow" in the opening line) shows an unprofessional and likely deliberate bias towards Tymoshenko. The exit poll that she and her supporters were counting on has been disproven by official results, and there is nothing "respected" about such a phony poll that has the effect of playing havoc with democratic expectations.

The fact is that Tymoshenko lost by more than 10 points, and she will need to pick up nearly all the votes of the democratic candidates Tigipko, Yatseniuk, and Yuschenko (who combined for 25 percent) in the second round. These voters are not happy with Tymoshenko and the chances of them switching over to her side en masse, simply on the basis of supposed "anti-Yanukovich" sentiments, are practically nil.

In this connection, i've got one (several-part) question for Tymoshenko.

Yulia Vladimirovna, on what basis are you proclaiming that you are going to get the votes of the democratic candidates Tigipko, Yatseniuk, Yuschenko, and Hrytsenko (who polled a combined 26 percent) in the second round? Why are you taking such an arrogant, presumptive tone with these voters in assuming they have some pre-existing obligation to support you? What have you done during this election campaign to earn the trust of these progressive, pro-democratic voters? Perhaps you should be addressing these voters with some new-found humility instead of your trademark arrogance and holier-than-thou, authoritarian rhetoric?

by: Jones from: Prague
January 18, 2010 16:35
Yanukovich vs. Yanukovych. This depends on whether one uses Russian to English transliteration or Ukrainian to English transliteration. As Yanukovich is calling for Russian to be recognized as an official language in Ukraine, he surely wouldn't mind Yanukovich. As for Kyiv vs Kiev, Beijing vs Peking, how far should English be dictated by the whims of political correctness? Should we call the Bavarian capital Munchen instead of Munich because it's the indigenous name? Should the French be encouraged to refer to London as such and not Londres? - What an hilarious campaign that would be!

by: Political Dissident
January 19, 2010 11:43
Re: Feb. 7 Runoff

The arguably most important factor concerns the redirection of first round votes for Sergei Tigipko and Arseny Yatsenyuk.

It remains to be seen whether a given first round candidate's endorsement leads to a lock step following among the sought out voters.

Touching on what another participant at this thread said, it'll be interesting to see the final tabulation of the first round vote. There's a current discrepancy, which suggests the potential for conflict in the second round.

*****

Concerning a below transliteration comment, the French and German examples aren't good analogies, given that only one language is overwhelimingly spoken in France and Germany. This differs from the situation in Ukraine.


by: David from: Spain
January 19, 2010 17:52
I join Political Dissident on Jones: you missed the point completely, it's not Yanukovich wouldn't mind be called like that... the question is that he (or his ancestors for that matter) had never been called "Yanukovych" in his entire life before becoming an "all-Ukrainian" politician!

by: Political Dissident
January 20, 2010 09:30
Jones & David:

Within the English dominated National Hockey League (NHL), the Montreal "Canadiens" (French) aren't spelled as the "Canadians" (English).

The public address announcements at Canadiens' home games are bilingual (French and English).

The NHL Quebec Nordiques played in Quebec City before becoming the Colorado Avalanche. The public address announcements at Nordiques' home games were exclusively in French.


by: cherkasy5 from: Lviv
January 20, 2010 12:39
Regarding the transliteration issue, you all miss the point.

The letters "y" (used as a vowel) and "i" in English are identical, and do not correspond to the difference between и and i in Ukrainian. There are pronunciational differences across languages that simply do not transliterate.

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