Saturday, May 26, 2012


Iran

Iran To Meet Hormuz 'Threats With Threats'

Iranian military personnel place a flag on a submarine during the Velayat-90 war games in the Strait of Hormuz on December 27.
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A senior commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guards has responded to U.S. warnings over possible Iranian moves in the Strait of Hormuz by suggesting Tehran would counter any "threats" with threats of its own.

The U.S. Defense Department had said on December 28 that it would not "tolerate" any disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, a main route for much of the Middle East's oil to world markets.

A spokeswoman for the U.S. Fifth Fleet said the U.S. Navy had a "robust presence" in the region to safeguard its "vital links to the international community."

Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps commander Hossein Salami countered on December 29 by saying, "Our response to threats is threats.”

The U.S. warning itself came a day after Iranian Vice President Mohammad-Reza Rahimi said Tehran wouldn’t allow oil to cross the Strait of Hormuz if new sanctions were enacted that targeted Iran's oil.

U.S. officials are readying legislation for new sanctions against Iran's Central Bank that could considerably weaken Iran's oil revenues.

France's Foreign Ministry warned on December 28 that "all ships, no matter what flag they fly, have the right of transit passage" in the strait.

China said on December 29 that it "hopes peace and stability can be maintained in the strait."

A hard-line newspaper close to Iran's supreme leader suggested this month that Tehran should consider affecting traffic in the Strait of Hormuz to punish countries that have sanctioned Iran over its nuclear program.

Iran's top naval commander, Admiral Habibollah Sayyari, said more recently that "blocking the Strait of Hormuz would be as easy for us as drinking a glass of water, but for the time being there is no need to do so."

compiled from agency reports
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Comments
     
by: PragueGuy from: Prague
December 29, 2011 15:05
Ok, how about this scenario: Say that Tehran decides not to be all talk and orders the Iranian Navy to move into the Strait of Hormuz. Here is the problem faced by the Iranian Navy:

They have 3 Russian-built SSK Kilo subs - but they should have bought 8 subs as they need to cannibalize 7 of the subs to get one working sub - no worry here.

They next try to dispatch their Iranian built subs - but they are still under construction so no worry here.

Next are their North Korean-built Yugos, but the Yugos crews are in mourning over the loss of the beloved Kim Ding Dong, and besides, the Yugos leak and will not float - no worry here.

The US and UK ships left over in the fleet are rust buckets with no spare parts - no worry of a blockade from these ships.

Tehran now decides to pull out all of the stops and make more idle threats.

In a very quick response to the threats from Tehran, the major oil companies around the world counter these threats by raising the price of oil - their stock price jumps - our IRAs recover. And the world goes on.

I wish all a Safe & Happy New Year!
In Response

by: Chechen
December 29, 2011 22:09
Yeah yeah yeah you are so knowlegable.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/16648850/ns/us_news-military/t/iran-gets-military-gear-pentagon-surplus-sale/
"WASHINGTON — The U.S. military has sold forbidden equipment at least a half-dozen times to middlemen for countries — including Iran and China — who exploited security flaws in the Defense Department’s surplus auctions. The sales include fighter jet parts and missile components."
In Response

by: PragueGuy from: Prague
December 30, 2011 09:44
Hi Chechen, Sorry that you are so tense. My "senario" requires the reader to have a bit of a sense of humor. I think it can be simply said that although most of the news reported by RFE/RL is serious and very often tragic and sad, we need to keep a tasteful sense of humor. I can not help to think that many of the world's problems exist because the world does not know how to laugh. Again Chechen - lighten up!

by: Demetrius Minneapolis from: My House
December 29, 2011 20:13
I agree for the most part with you PragueGuy, but wonder if they choose another strategy, that of using drone boats as explosive carriers, or more drastic, suicide bomb boats along the lines of the Cole attack.

My opinion is it's not WHAT Iran does offensively, but how western leaders react and how soon if at all to an actual aggressive act.
I don't see a Margaret Thatcher out there to campaign a GHW Bush into an expanisive engagement against another M/E tyrant state threatening western energy supplies right now.

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