Saturday, October 25, 2014


The Power Vertical

Navalny Wins A Round

Aleksei Navalny speaks outside the Moscow Election Commission shortly before being briefly detained by police.
Aleksei Navalny speaks outside the Moscow Election Commission shortly before being briefly detained by police.
One has to wonder whether the Moscow police aren't secretly working for Aleksei Navalny.

Accompanied by hundreds of supporters and with video cameras rolling, the anticorruption blogger and opposition figure walked down the capital's central Tverskaya Street to the city's election commission on July 10 to register as a candidate.

When Navalny came out of the building to address his supporters and speak to journalists, he was inexplicably seized by police and hauled into a waiting paddy wagon. Chanting "shame," "Navalny is our mayor," and "release him," the crowd surrounded the bus.

And then, after a tense standoff, the police let Navalny go -- and reportedly apologized to him.

"Thus begins our spectacular election campaign," he told his cheering supporters, who then fanned out to stump for their newly minted candidate.

"Thank you everyone! Thank you that you didn't disperse and didn't leave me alone in this. Because of you they let me go. Let's be like this for everyone. One for all!" he said.

And the crowd chanted back: "And all for one!"

It could easily be turned into an advertisement -- and perhaps will be. The video, in any event, is clearly destined to go viral. (You can watch the whole thing from start to finish here or here.) 

WATCH NAVALNY BEING DETAINED HERE:


AND WATCH HIM SPEAK TO SUPPORTERS AFTER BEING RELASED HERE:



As a metaphor for -- and a microcosm of -- the battle Navalny finds himself in, the whole incident was pretty fitting.

Today he started his campaign for Moscow mayor, an uphill struggle under the best of circumstances.

And next week, on July 18, a court in Kirov Oblast is due to issue a verdict in Navalny's highly politicized trial on embezzlement charges widely viewed as trumped-up. If the expected guilty verdict comes down, Navalny could find himself incarcerated for a lot longer than the brief stint he spent in a paddy wagon. 

But with thousands of people already pledged to take to the streets in his defense, locking up Navalny for the six years prosecutors -- and thus the Kremlin -- are asking for will not be without cost.

Which gets to the heart of the asymmetrical tactics Navalny has long deployed.

If I'm right about him, and I think I am, he's playing a long game, building up a reservoir of goodwill and street cred that make him the clear eventual alternative to Vladimir Putin's regime.

In his closing statement in court last week, when he vowed to "liquidate the feudal system that is stealing from us all," Navalny acted like someone who knows he owns the future.

"Despite the fact that you sit in judgement of me and can imprison me, I will fight for you," he said.

"And if anybody thinks I am afraid of this six years I am threatened with and will run away abroad or somewhere, they are seriously mistaken. I will wait it out. I cannot run away from myself. I don't want to do anything but help my fellow citizens."

This is a man who just might be even more dangerous to the Kremlin in prison than he is on the street.

NOTE TO READERS: I wasn't planning on blogging on Navalny for the second day in a row, but today's events left me little choice.

Tags: Aleksei Navalny

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Comments
     
by: Eugenio from: Vienna
July 11, 2013 03:59
One has to wonder whether Navalny is just a stooge of NATO, a Zionist pawn on the road to irrelevance.
In Response

by: Alex from: Baltimore
July 11, 2013 17:06
No need to wonder about you - an anti-Semitic, anti-American left wing fool already made irrelevant by the spectacular global failure of communism and socialism. Stop maligning Russian dissidents, you pathetic, conspiracy-mongering pro-Putin troll. Navalny has nothing to do with NATO, Israel, or the US - he's just a Russian fighting Putin and his gang of crooks and thugs. More power to him.
In Response

by: shay from: boston
July 11, 2013 19:30
Alex – I like your response to that clown, but please don't be so hard on socialism. The Soviet Union was never socialist, instead look at present-day Sweden, or Norway where 90% of their oil profits are funneled directly back to the people. Even France has an acceptable model. In America I challenge you to defy the manifesto of avowed socialist Senator Bernie Sanders in Vermont, a lone voice of reason in a broken political system.
In Response

by: Eugenio from: Vienna
July 14, 2013 19:30
Aha, I am the clown who has spent more than two years promising the "endgame" for Bashar al-Assad, and I am also the clown who is currnetly making a complete fool of himself by trying to "pressure" all sorts of countries into handing Edwars Snowden to the US to "face the music". Just laugh into my face, as long as it is my criminal activities of spying on everyone all over the world that have recently been exposed :-)).
In Response

by: Shay from: Boston
July 11, 2013 19:23
One has to wonder if Putin is just a stooge of the cleptocracy of elites who have robbed Russia blind, a figurehead for the KGB/FSB thugs who rely upon imagined enemies in order to justify their existence, with no safe exit planned due to the endless enemies he has spawned throughout the world.
In Response

by: Asehpe from: The Netherlands
July 12, 2013 01:22
Always designed to maximize laughing.

Have a good weekend! :)

by: La Russophobe from: USA
July 12, 2013 12:02
I find it kind of troubling that there is not one single critical word said about Navalny in this piece. I reads much more like a piece of campaign propaganda produced by Navalny himself than like journalism or critical analysis.

And then there's the wishful thinking! It's rather naive to suggest that Navalny is dangerous to the Kremlin. This is exactly the kind of thing that used to be written about Khodorkovsky before it turned out that the latter was never going to let out of jail and that the people of Russia didn't care. Long game? You must be kidding.

Don't forget that a big part of the street support for Navalny came from Nazis and Commies, and even then it wasn't that substantial. Navalny is no King, Mandela or Gandhi.

Navalny isn't going to get more powerful or well known by spending time in prison. He'll be permanently disqualified from holding elective office and he'll be forgotten. It's now very clear he has no real electoral support even in Moscow, much less elsewhere in Russia. Meanwhile, who is going to front the opposition while he's in prison? Is there any reason to think it won't degenerate further into the same type of squabbling we've always seen?

by: Eugenio from: Vienna
July 14, 2013 19:55
VIDEO: 'No justice, no peace!' Angry protests sweep Russia over Navalny trial - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8XojO_N2E3M&feature=youtube_gdata_player

by: Zackery from: USA
July 16, 2013 03:24
It's becoming clear that it is only a matter of time before the Russian people throw the failing Putin system out.

You can sense in it the crowds everywhere.
In Response

by: Eugenio from: Vienna
July 16, 2013 09:05
:-))) Aha, that is probably also the sense of Gérard Depardieu and Edward Snowden: that's probably the major reason why they left their native France and USA and moved to Russia.
By the way, will the Russian people throw Putin out before or after the so often promised "endgame" for Bashar al-Assad has finally come :-))?
In Response

by: La Russophobe from: USA
July 17, 2013 10:53
Sure! Just like it was only a matter of time for the Communists.

And how long did that take, exactly?

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17:49 October 24, 2014

EVENING NEWS ROUNDUP

From RFE/RL's News Desk:

PUTIN ACCUSES UNITED STATES OF 'UNILATERAL DIKTAT'

Russian President Vladimir Putin has accused the United States of escalating conflicts around the world by imposing what he called a "unilateral diktat."

Putin made the remarks in a combative speech to political experts at the Valdai International Discussion Club, in Russia's Black Sea resort of Sochi.

Putin said the United States has been "fighting against the results of its own policy" in Iraq, Libya and Syria.

He said risks of serious conflicts involving major countries have risen, as well as risks of arms treaties being violated.

He also dismissed international sanctions over Russia's actions in Ukraine as a "mistake," saying they aimed at pushing Russia into isolation and would end up "hurting everyone."

We did not start this," he added, referring to rising tensions between Russia and the West.

(Based on reporting by Reuters, AP, Interfax, TASS)

MERKEL URGES PUTIN TO SOLVE UKRAINIAN GAS DISPUTE

German Chancellor Angela Merkel has urged Russian President Vladimir Putin in a telephone call to push for a quick resolution of the ongoing gas dispute with Ukraine as winter looms.

The call by Merkel to Putin on October 24 comes as representatives of the EU, Russia, and Ukraine are due to meet again next week in EU brokered talks aimed at solving the gas dispute between Kyiv and Moscow.

Merkel also underlined that upcoming elections in areas of eastern Ukraine controlled by Russian-backed separatists must respect Ukrainian national law.

Pro-Russian insurgent leaders are boycotting a parliamentary snap poll on October 26 in Ukraine and are holding their own election in the Lugansk and Donetsk regions, home to nearly three million people, on the same day instead.

(Based on reporting by AFP and Reuters)

UNHCR SAYS MORE THAN 800,000 DISPLACED IN UKRAINE CONFLICT

By RFE/RL

The United Nations says the conflict in Ukraine has forced more than 800,000 people from their homes.

Around 95 percent of displaced people come from eastern Ukraine, where government troops have been battling pro-Russian separatists.

UNHCR, the UN refugee agency, told a briefing in Geneva that an estimated 430,000 people were currently displaced within Ukraine -- 170,000 more than at the start of September.

It said at least 387,000 other people have asked for refugee status, temporary asylum, or other forms of residency permits in Russia.

Another 6,600 have applied for asylum in the European Union and 581 in Belarus.

The agency said it was "racing to help some of the most vulnerable displaced people" as winter approaches.

It also said the number of displaced people is expected to rise further due to ongoing fighting in eastern Ukraine.

THREE ALLEGED MILITANTS KILLED IN NORTH CAUCASUS

Three alleged militants have been killed by security forces in Russia's volatile North Caucasus region.

Russia's National Antiterrorism Committee says that two suspects were killed in the village of Charoda in Daghestan on October 24 after they refused to leave an apartment and opened fire at police and security troops.

One police officer was wounded.

Also on October 24, police in another North Caucasus region, Kabardino-Balkaria, killed a suspected militant after he refused to identify himself, threw a grenade towards police, and opened fire with a pistol.

A police officer was wounded in that incident.

Violence is common in Russia's North Caucasus region, which includes the restive republics of Daghestan, Kabardino-Balkaria, Ingushetia, and Chechnya.

Islamic militants and criminal groups routinely target Russian military personnel and local officials.

(Based on reporting by Interfax and TASS)

MOSCOW LAWYER IN HIGH PROFILE ORGANIZED CRIME CASE KILLED

A lawyer, who represented an alleged victim of the notorious Orekhovo criminal group in Moscow, has been assassinated.

Police in the Russian capital say that Vitaly Moiseyev and his wife were found dead with gunshot wounds in a car near Moscow on October 24.

Moiseyev was representing Sergei Zhurba, an alleged victim of the Orekhovo gang and a key witness in a case against one of the gang's leaders Dmitry Belkin.

Belkin was sentenced to life in prison on October 23 for multiple murders and extortion.

Last month, another of Zhurba's lawyers, Tatyana Akimtseva (eds: a woman), was shot dead by unknown individuals.

The Orekhovo group was one of the most powerful crime gangs of the Moscow region and in Russia in the 1990s. Its members are believed to be responsible for dozens of murders.

(Based on reporting by TASS and Interfax)

17:27 October 24, 2014

LITTLE GREES VOTERS, ANYONE?

17:26 October 24, 2014

SPY VS. SPY

17:00 October 24, 2014
08:29 October 24, 2014

MORNING NEWS ROUNDUP

From RFE/RL's News Desk:

UKRAINIAN PM WARNS OF RUSSIAN DESTABILIZATION OF ELECTIONS

Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk is warning that Russia could attempt to disrupt Ukraine's parliamentary elections scheduled for October 26.

Yatsenyuk told a meeting of top security officials and election monitors on October 23 that "It is absolutely clear that attempts to destabilize the situation will continue and will be provoked by Russia."

Yatsenyuk said "we are in a state of Russian aggression and we have before us one more challenge -- to hold parliamentary elections."

The prime minister said Ukraine needs the "full mobilization of the entire law-enforcement system to prevent violations of the election process and attempts at terrorist acts during the elections."

Interior Minister Arsen Avakov said authorities have ordered some 82,000 policemen on duty for election day.

He said 4,000 members of a special reaction force would be among those maintaining order during polling hours and would be concentrated in "those precincts where there is a risk of some terrorist acts or aggressive actions by some...candidates."

The warning by Yatsenyuk comes on the heels of three violent attacks on parliamentary candidates in the past week.

The latest, against Volodymyr Borysenko, a member of Yatsenyuk's People's Front Party, occurred on October 20 when Borysenko was shot at and had an explosive thrown at him.

He allegedly survived the attack only because he was wearing body armor due to numerous death threats he had recently received.

Elections to the Verkhovna Rada, the parliament, will be held despite continued fighting in the eastern part of the country between Ukrainian government forces and pro-Russian separatists.

Voting will not take place in 14 districts of eastern Ukraine currently under the control of the separatists.

Those separatist-held areas -- in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions -- are planning on holding their own elections in November.

Additionally, Russia's illegal annexation of Crimea in March means the loss of 12 seats from the 450-seat parliament.

Polls show President Petro Poroshenko's party leading with some 30 percent of respondents saying they would cast their vote for the Petro Poroshenko Bloc.

It that percentage holds on election day it would mean Poroshenko's bloc would have to form a coalition government, likely with nationalist groups who oppose conducting peace talks over fighting in the east.

(Based on reporting by Reuters and Interfax)

RUSSIA DENIES ESTONIAN AIRSPACE VIOLATIONS

By RFE/RL

Moscow has denied claims of an incursion by a Russian military plane into Estonia's airspace.

A Russian Defense Ministry spokesman told Interfax news agency on October 23 that the Ilyushin-20 took off from Khrabrovo airfield in the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad on October 21.

The spokesman said the reconnaissance plane flew "over neutral waters of the Baltic Sea" while on a training flight.

On October 22, Estonia’s Foreign Ministry summoned the Russian ambassador in Tallinn, Yury Merzlakov, after the Estonian military said the Russian plane had entered its air space.

In a statement, NATO said the Ilyushin-20 was first intercepted by Danish jets when it approached Denmark, before flying toward non-NATO member Sweden.

Intercepted by Swedish planes, the alliance said the Ilyushin entered Estonian airspace for “less than one minute” and was escorted out by Portuguese jets.

NATO has stepped up its Baltic air patrols and Moscow has been accused of several recent border violations in the region amid heightened tensions between Russia and the West over the Ukraine conflict.

Last month, Estonia accused Russia of abducting one of its police officers on the border.

Russia claims Eston Kohver was seized inside Russia on September 5, while Estonian officials say he was captured at gunpoint in Estonia near the border and taken to Russia.

The European Union and United States have called for the immediate release of the Estonian security official, who is facing espionage charges in Russia.

Meanwhile, the Swedish Navy has been searching for a suspected submarine sighted six days ago some 50 kilometers from the capital, Stockholm, although it said on October 22 it was pulling back some of its ships.

Swedish officials have not linked any particular country to the suspected intrusion and Moscow has denied involvement.

(With reporting by Interfax, TASS, and the BBC)

RUSSIAN COURT POSTPONES RULING ON OIL FIRM BASHNEFT

A Moscow court postponed to next week a ruling on a move to take control of Bashneft, an oil company from tycoon Vladimir Yevtushenkov.

The judge said on October 23 that the next hearing will take place on October 30 after the prosecution requested more time to prepare its case.

Prosecutors filed the suit in September to regain state ownership of Bashneft, citing alleged violations in the privatization and subsequent sale of the company to AFK Sistema investment group.

Yevtushenkov, the main shareholder of the conglomerate, is under house arrest on suspicion of money laundering during the firm's acquisition in 2009.

Yevtushenkov, 66, was arrested on September 16.

He is ranked Russia's 15th richest man by U.S. magazine Forbes, with an estimated fortune of $9 billion.

(Based on reporting by Reuters and TASS)

11:11 October 23, 2014

THERE IS NO RUSSIA WITHOUT PUTIN?

According to a report in the pro-Kremlin daily "Izvestia," deputy Kremlin chief of staff Vyacheslav Volodin told a meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club in Sochi that Western politicians "do not understand the essence of Russia."

"Volodin stated the key thesis about the current state of our country: As long as there is Putin there is Russia. If there is no Putin, there is no Russia," Konstantin Kostin, head of the Foundation for the Development of Civil Society, told "Izvestia."

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