Uzbek President Islam Karimov
Following the unrest in the Uzbek city of Andijon last month, there is growing speculation about the future of Uzbek President Islam Karimov. And this week, a major essay in the British journal “Jane’s Intelligence Review” argues that “Uzbekistan is now spiraling irretrievably towards violent regime change.” Such an upheaval, the piece says, could leave in its bloody wake a “failed state” with continued violence driven by “an ugly cocktail of ethnicity, revenge, disparities of wealth, clan interests, organized crime, foreign interference, and religious extremism.”