RFE/RL has covered the problems the financial crisis has created for migrant workers (especially those working in Russia) who can no longer send remittances home. In Tajikistan, about a half of GDP is earned from remittances.
According to the Slate story:
The article and ICG report make it sound like unrest is likely, but there are several reasons why that might not be the case.
Many Tajiks say they tried an armed uprising against the government in the civil war in the 1990s and look where that got them.
There are no influential political groups or leaders with any clear program; President Emomali Rahmon has successfully managed to eliminate them all.
And Tajik observers were predicting antigovernment protests last year -- after an unprecedented cold winter coupled with severe shortages of gas, electricity, and food -- but it didn't happen then.
-- Farangiz Najibullah