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Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's new supreme leader
Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's new supreme leader

live EU Sees No 'Imminent' Oil Shortage As Crude Prices Soar

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As the US-Israeli war with Iran continues to impact and shape the region, journalists from RFE/RL deliver ongoing updates and analysis.

Key Takeaways:

  • US President Donald Trump has criticized the selection of Mojtaba Khamenei to replace his late father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, as the supreme leader of Iran, telling one media outlet he is "not happy" with the choice and another that the decision was "a big mistake."
  • Iran continued its attacks on Arab countries hosting US bases in the Persian Gulf on March 8, targeting Kuwait International Airport and a desalination plant in Bahrain.
  • The Israeli Army announced on March 8 that it had targeted Iranian F-14 fighter jets at Isfahan Airport the day before.
14:01 4.3.2026

Nathan Sales: Success In Iran Will Be Measured By Pace Of Decline In Iranian Attacks

Former US ambassador-at-large and coordinator for counterterrorism Nathan Sales (file photo)
Former US ambassador-at-large and coordinator for counterterrorism Nathan Sales (file photo)

Washington's objectives in the war with Iran are both military and political, including neutralizing the threat Tehran poses to the United States and its allies and creating conditions for political change inside the country, according to Nathan Sales, a former U.S. ambassador-at-large and coordinator for counterterrorism who is now a distinguished fellow with the Atlantic Council’s Middle East Programs.

Sales said a key short-term measure of success would be how quickly Iran’s attacks begin to decline. In his view, a drop in missile and drone strikes would show that the US campaign is weakening Iran’s ability to continue attacking.

“I think operations to target the security services are also important because those are the elements of the regime that would try to put down any uprising, any future uprising by the Iranian people to restore democracy and freedom to their country”.

Sales also warned that the war could create security threats beyond the Middle East.

Read the interview by RFE/RL's Amra Zejneli Loxha here.

13:57 4.3.2026

NATO Condemns Iran After Incoming Missile Downed Near Turkey

NATO has condemned Iran’s “targeting” of Turkey after Ankara said a missile heading toward its airspace had been intercepted by alliance air defense systems.

Turkey’s Defense Ministry said on March 4 that a ballistic munition launched from Iran passed through Iraqi and Syrian airspace before being engaged by NATO air and missile defense assets stationed in the eastern Mediterranean.

The missile was destroyed before reaching its target, and debris from the intercept fell in the Dortyol district of Hatay Province, with no casualties reported.

Following the incident, Turkey cautioned Tehran against actions that might escalate the conflict. In a phone call with his Iranian counterpart, Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said that “any steps that could lead to the spread of conflict should be avoided,” according to a Foreign Ministry source.

NATO spokeswoman Allison Hart said the alliance “stands firmly with all allies, including [Turkey],” and stressed that NATO’s deterrence and defense posture remains strong as Iran continues attacks across the region.

With reporting by Reuters and AFP
13:46 4.3.2026

Drone Hits Iranian Kurdish Opposition Base in Iraq

A drone struck an arms depot at the headquarters of an Iranian Kurdish opposition group in the town of Dekala in Iraq’s Kurdistan region on March 4, wounding two fighters, security sources told Reuters.

Iran has long accused the autonomous Kurdish region of harboring militant groups involved in attacks on the Islamic republic and has repeatedly targeted their bases.

As the US-Israeli strikes pound targets in Iran, Iranian Kurdish armed groups based in Iraqi Kurdistan have held discussions with US officials in recent days about the possibility of attacking Iranian security forces in western Iran, according to reports.

13:36 4.3.2026

Starmer Urges 'Cool Head' As Middle East Conflict Fuels Escalation Fears

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer says Britain needs to keep a "cool head" to tamp down public concerns about escalation as the conflict in the Middle East rages.

Starmer was grilled by lawmakers during Parliament's question period on March 4, enduring heaving opposition criticism a day after US President Donald Trump questioned his leadership over Britain's limited support for US-Israeli strikes on Iran.

"I know the whole country is worried about the potential for escalation," Starmer said. "We ‌need to act, therefore, with clarity, with purpose and with a cool head."

13:32 4.3.2026

Saudi Oil Complex Is Hit Again

An Aramco employee walks near an oil tank at the Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia. (file photo)
An Aramco employee walks near an oil tank at the Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia. (file photo)

Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura complex, home to the kingdom’s largest domestic refinery and a major crude export terminal, has been struck again by an unidentified projectile, four sources told Reuters.

The incident on March 4 came two days after a reported drone attack shut the refinery.

Saudi Arabia’s Defense Ministry said initial indications suggested the latest strike was carried out by a drone but caused no damage. An Saudi Energy Ministry source said supplies were not disrupted.

Persian Gulf producers, including Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Iraq have been unable to ship oil through the Strait of Hormuz since US and Israeli attacks on Iran began on February 28.

Hundreds of vessels have anchored near the strait as Iran threatens to fire on ships attempting to transit it.

13:13 4.3.2026

US Says It Sank Iranian Destroyer Sank Near Sri Lanka

The Iranian Navy destroyer Dena sank near the Sri Lanka in the Indian Ocean on March 4 after an explosion following an attack by a submarine.

US defense chief Pete Hegseth confirmed the hit to reporters in Washington.

"An American submarine sunk an Iranian warship that thought it was safe in international waters," he said. "Instead, it was sunk by a torpedo."

Sri Lanka's military rescued at least 30 crew members from the warship as it was sinking, according to Reuters, which cited Sri Lanka's foreign minister.

According to Sri Lankan officials, the rescue operation began after the destroyer sent a distress signal early March 4. Sri Lanka’s navy launched the mission after receiving the call.

Sri Lankan Foreign Minister Vijitha Herath did not provide further details about the incident, but said the government would take “appropriate measures.”

Local Sri Lankan media reported that the ship ran into trouble near the coastal town of Galle in the south of the country, and that several injured crew members were taken to a hospital in the port city.

Sri Lankan authorities said the Dena had about 180 crew members, and search operations were continuing for others who may have been on board. Sources in Sri Lanka's navy and Defense Ministry ⁠said at least 101 people were missing after the incident.

On March 2, U.S. President Donald Trump said the American military had sunk nine Iranian naval vessels in its attacks, adding that “some of them were relatively large and important.” He also said that after destroying Iran’s naval headquarters, US forces would target other Iranian military vessels.

Iran’s government has not yet reacted to the report, though some state news agencies have republished the story citing AFP.

11:15 4.3.2026

Tehran's Landmark Azadi Tower Seen Surrounded By Smoke And Flames

Chaos and destruction was seen around Tehran's landmark Azadi Tower on March 3, as local residents scramble to help the injured and navigate through thick smoke.

Widespread damage and hundreds of deaths have been reported in the wake of joint US-Israeli strikes on Iran that began on February 28.

Read more on the significance of Iran's Azadi tower here.

Tehran's Landmark Azadi Tower Seen Surrounded By Smoke And Flames
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Tehran's Landmark Azadi Tower Seen Surrounded By Smoke And Flames
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11:11 4.3.2026

Spanish PM Says Country’s Position Is 'No to War'

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez (file photo)
Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez (file photo)

Spain’s prime minister has said his government opposes the US and Israeli attacks on Iran, describing Madrid’s position as “no to war” and warning against further escalation in the conflict.

Pedro Sanchez made the remarks in a televised address on March 4 amid a dispute with Washington after US President Donald Trump criticized Spain for refusing to support the military operation against Iran.

Earlier, the Spanish government had described the US and Israeli bombing of Iran as reckless and illegal and subsequently banned US aircraft from using naval and air bases in southern Spain for the operation.

Trump said on March 3 that he had instructed the US Treasury secretary to suspend all trade with Spain over Madrid’s stance.

In his remarks, Sánchez said the world cannot solve its problems through “conflicts and bombs,” stressing that his government’s stance could be summed up in three words: “No to war.”

He also warned against such conflicts, saying that 'this is how humanity's great disasters start."

"You cannot play Russian roulette with the destiny of millions," he said.

Referring to the consequences of the Iraq war -- including the rise of Islamist terrorism and a surge in energy prices -- Sanchez said the consequences of attacking Iran are also uncertain and unlikely to lead to a more just global order.

Trump also said on March 3 that he was dissatisfied with Britain. The United Kingdom had initially refused to allow the United States to use its bases -- including Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean -- for the initial strikes on Iran.

However, UK Minister Keir Starmer slightly softened his position on March 1 and allowed limited use of his country’s bases.

10:25 4.3.2026

New Wave Of Israeli Attacks Targets Sites In Tehran

The Israeli army said on March 4 that it had launched a new wave of attacks on Tehran.

At the same time, several news channels inside Iran reported a series of explosions in parts of the capital, including eastern and northeastern Tehran.

Iran’s state media have not reported on the attacks.

Meanwhile, Internet disruptions have limited the availability of real-time information about the locations that may have been targeted.

10:17 4.3.2026

Air Raid Sirens Sound in Israel

Missile attack warning sirens have sounded across several parts of Israel.

Footage circulating from the skies over Jerusalem shows missiles being intercepted.

Israel’s emergency services say there have been no reports of missile impacts or possible casualties thus far.

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