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Smoke rises from Dubai International Airport after a drone-related incident sparked a fire there early on March 16.
Smoke rises from Dubai International Airport after a drone-related incident sparked a fire there early on March 16.

live Trump Warns Of 'Very Bad' Future For NATO If Allies Fail To Help US In Strait

As the US-Israeli war with Iran continues to impact and shape the region, journalists from RFE/RL deliver ongoing updates and analysis.

Key Takeaways:

  • US President Donald Trump warned that NATO faces a "very bad" future if member states fail to help open the critical Strait of Hormuz,
  • Earlier, Trump said he is not ready to make a deal to end the war with Iran, despite what he claims are inquiries by Tehran for a settlement.
  • A drone-related incident sparked a fire near Dubai's international airport, the second-busiest airport in the world.
  • The Iranian women’s soccer captain, Zahra Ghanbari, has withdrawn her asylum request in Australia and will return to Iran, state media said, becoming the fifth member of the national team delegation to reverse a bid for sanctuary.
  • Iranian security officials say they have detained more than 500 people in connection with the war, including people who have provided photos and videos to outside news organizations.
  • The US Defense Department identified six Air Force airmen who were killed when their KC-135 refueling aircraft crashed in western Iraq on March 12.
  • The global ship-refueling hub of Fujairah in the United Arab Emirates resumed oil-loading operations on March 15 after some activity had been suspended the previous day when debris from an intercepted drone sparked a fire
  • The United States has offered up to $10 million for information on new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei.
  • US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth says an officer from outside of US Central Command has been appointed to investigate a deadly strike on a girls' school in Iran.
10:37 11.3.2026

The Netblocks Internet connectivity monitor says that Iran's digital blackout has now entered a 12th day "with connectivity still at 1% of ordinary levels."

Experts and rights groups say Internet shutdowns in Iran can limit information leaving the country and help authorities control the narrative during unrest or conflict.

10:27 11.3.2026

Iran Threatens To Target US, Israeli Banks After Tehran Strike

A branch of Iran's state-owned Bank Sepah was reportedly hit in a strike early in the morning of March 11.
A branch of Iran's state-owned Bank Sepah was reportedly hit in a strike early in the morning of March 11.

The Iranian military’s joint operational command says that the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps will target economic centers and banks belonging to the United States and Israel in the Middle East.

In a message, published on March 11, a spokesperson for Khatam al-Anbiya’s central headquarters said the decision was taken in response to the “enemy” targeting a bank in Iran.

The statement did not name the bank or its location, but said it had been struck overnight.

However, Bank Sepah – one of Iran’s largest state-owned banks -- later said one of its branches on the Haqqani Highway in Tehran was hit by a missile at 1 a.m. on March 11.

Iran’s state television channel IRINN reported separately that the bank in question was located in Tehran and claimed employees had been working an extra shift to prepare March salary payments. According to the report, a “high” number of people were killed in the attack.

In its statement, Khatam al-Anbiya added that this “illegitimate and unconventional” act in the war had “left our hands free to target economic centers and banks belonging to” the United States and Israel “in the region.”

The statement also urged people in countries where such banks are located not to remain within a one-kilometer radius of them.

10:07 11.3.2026

Drones Crash Near Dubai Airport, Injuring 4

The emirate of Dubai said on March 11 that two drones crashed near the city’s airport, leaving four people injured, though air traffic continues to operate normally.

The incident, which injured two citizens of Ghana, one from India and one from Bangladesh, comes as Iran’s attacks on Gulf countries continue on the 12th day of the war between the United States and Israel and Iran.

09:41 11.3.2026

And speaking of Iranian soccer, the president of football's world governing body FIFA, Gianni Infantino, has been talking to Donald Trump, whose country is co-hosting this year's World Cup. According to Infantino, the US President "reiterated that the Iranian team is, of course, welcome to compete in the tournament in the United States" despite the current conflict with Iran.

09:30 11.3.2026

Iran Women’s Footballer Withdraws Asylum Bid In Australia

The Iranian women's football team were denounced as "wartime traitors" at home after they declined to sing their country's national anthem before a game at the AFC Asian cup in Australia.
The Iranian women's football team were denounced as "wartime traitors" at home after they declined to sing their country's national anthem before a game at the AFC Asian cup in Australia.

An Iranian women’s national soccer team member who initially sought asylum in Australia has withdrawn her request after speaking with teammates, Australian Home Affairs Minister Tony Burke said on March 11.

Seven members of the visiting squad had sought sanctuary after being branded “traitors” in Iran for silently protesting during the national anthem before a match.

Burke told the Australian parliament that one player reversed her decision after contacting teammates who had returned with the team and encouraged her to speak with the Iranian Embassy.

Because the embassy learned the group’s location, Australian authorities moved the remaining asylum-seeking players from a safe house to another location.

The rest of the team flew from Sydney to Kuala Lumpur early on March 11.

With reporting by AFP
09:04 11.3.2026

Iran Police Chief Warns Protesters Will Be Treated As 'Enemies'

Iranian police chief Ahmad-Reza Radan (file photo)
Iranian police chief Ahmad-Reza Radan (file photo)

Iran's top police commander has warned that protesters supporting Tehran’s foes during the regional war will be treated as “enemies” rather than demonstrators, AFP reports.

National police chief Ahmad-Reza Radan said in remarks aired by state broadcaster IRIB late on March 10 that anyone acting “in line with the wishes of the enemy” would face the same response as hostile forces.

He added that security forces were ready, “with their hands on the trigger,” to defend the Islamic republic.

The warning follows a harsh crackdown on anti-government protests earlier this year sparked by economic grievances in sanctions-hit Iran.

Authorities say more than 3,000 people died in the unrest, while rights groups report far higher tolls.

Officials fear renewed demonstrations as the conflict with the United States and Israel escalates.

08:23 11.3.2026

The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO), a British naval coordination center that monitors security threats to commercial shipping, issued a post on X this morning, warning that "a container vessel has sustained damage from a suspected but unknown projectile" near the Strait of Hormuz. It reported that "all crew members are safe and accounted for."

In a subsequent X post, it said that "a cargo vessel has been hit in the Straits of Hormuz which has resulted in a fire onboard." It added that the ship "had requested assistance and the crew are evacuating the vessel." It then advised ships in the straits "to transit with caution."

07:46 11.3.2026

Good morning. We'll start the live blog today with this video from US Central Command, which posted it on X, saying that the American military had "eliminated multiple Iranian naval vessels, March 10, including 16 minelayers near the Strait of Hormuz." The post comes hours after US President Donald Trump warned Iran against mining the Strait of Hormuz, saying on Truth Social that any such move would trigger severe retaliation.

00:58 11.3.2026

We are now closing the live blog for the day. We'll be back tomorrow at 7:30 a.m. Central European time to cover the latest events across the Middle East.

22:21 10.3.2026

White House Says Trump Will Determine When Iran Has Surrendered

US President Donald Trump will determine what constitutes "unconditional surrender" by Iran in the face of US-Israeli bombardment, the White House said on March 10, amid questions about how long the war may last.

White House spokesman Karoline Leavitt's comments came on what US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth warned would be the "most intense day ⁠of strikes inside Iran," and in the wake of a statement by Trump that the campaign would end "very soon."

"Ultimately, the operations will end when the commander-in-chief determines the military objectives have been met, fully realized, and that Iran is in [a position of] complete and unconditional surrender – whether they say it or not," Leavitt told reporters.

On March 7, Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform that there would be "will be no deal with Iran except UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER!"

Trump is "not claiming that the Iranian regime is going to come out and say it themselves," Leavitt said, adding that he "will determine when Iran is in a place of unconditional surrender when they no longer pose a direct and credible threat to the United States and our allies."

Read more here.

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