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Smoke rises from Dubai International Airport after a drone-related incident sparked a fire there early on March 16.
Smoke rises from Dubai International Airport after a drone-related incident sparked a fire there early on March 16.

live Trump Warns Of 'Very Bad' Future For NATO If Allies Fail To Help US In Strait

As the US-Israeli war with Iran continues to impact and shape the region, journalists from RFE/RL deliver ongoing updates and analysis.

Key Takeaways:

  • US President Donald Trump warned that NATO faces a "very bad" future if member states fail to help open the critical Strait of Hormuz.
  • Earlier, Trump said he is not ready to make a deal to end the war with Iran, despite what he claims are inquiries by Tehran for a settlement.
  • Israel’s military said it has begun “limited and targeted ground operations” in southern Lebanon, aimed at Hezbollah fighters and infrastructure near the border.
  • A UAE-loaded tanker sailing under the Pakistani flag crossed the Strait of Hormuz on March 16 with its tracking signal active, suggesting that some cargo ships may be receiving negotiated safe passage despite the recent shipping disruption.
  • EU foreign ministers will discuss extending the bloc’s Red Sea naval mission to help secure the Strait of Hormuz, EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas said on March 16.
  • Oil-loading operations have again been ⁠suspended at ⁠the ‌United Arab Emirates port of Fujairah after a drone attack sparked a fire in a petroleum industrial zone
  • A drone-related incident also caused a fire near Dubai's international airport, the second-busiest airport in the world.
  • The Iranian women’s soccer captain, Zahra Ghanbari, has withdrawn her asylum request in Australia and will return to Iran, state media said, becoming the fifth member of the national team delegation to reverse a bid for sanctuary.
  • Iranian security officials say they have detained more than 500 people in connection with the war, including people who have provided photos and videos to outside news organizations.
09:55 9.3.2026

Azerbaijan-Iran Border Reopens After Drone Incident

According to an Azerbaijani government statement, all types of vehicle traffic across the border between Azerbaijan and Iran resumed in the morning of March 9.

The border is one of the shortest land routes connecting Iran to its ally Russia, and crossings were closed last week after Baku said that an Iranian drone hit the Nakhchivan exclave on March 5.

More Videos Show Apparent Drone Attack On Nakhchivan Airport, School Area More Videos Show Apparent Drone Attack On Nakhchivan Airport, School Area
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Iranian President Masud Pezeshkian denied the drone strike during a phone call with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, saying Iran was not responsible for the strike that hit a school and an airport in the autonomous Nakhchivan region.

In a statement released on March 8, Azerbaijan's presidential office said Pezeshkian insisted that "the incident involving the air strike on Nakhchivan had no connection with Iran."

09:24 9.3.2026

China Says It 'Opposes' Targeting Of New Iranian Leader

China has said that it opposes the targeting of Mojtaba Khamenei, the new supreme leader of the Islamic Republic, by the United States and Israel.

Gao Jiaqun, a spokesman for the Chinese Foreign Ministry, said: "Beijing opposes interference in the internal affairs of other countries under any pretext, and Iran's sovereignty, security, and territorial integrity must be respected."

Posting on X on March 8, the Israeli military said that it would continue pursuing every successor of Iran's slain Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was killed in a US and Israeli attack on February 28.

The same day, US President Donald Trump told ABC News that if the new supreme leader "doesn’t get approval from us, he’s not going to last long."

08:26 9.3.2026

New Supreme Leader Celebrated, Decried In Tehran

Supporters of the Iranian regime shouted "Allahu Akbar" after Mojtaba Khamenei was named supreme leader, with the cry broadcast from loudspeakers in some parts of Tehran.

At the same time, in areas of Tehran such as the Ekbatan neighborhood, there were shouts and chants decrying the announcement, including "Death to Mojtaba."

Shortly after midnight on March 9, Iran named hard-liner Khamenei to replace his father, the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, as supreme leader. Khamenei was killed in a February 28 attack by the United States and Israel.

Mojtaba Khamenei is the third supreme leader in the 47-year history of the Islamic republic.

03:21 9.3.2026

Trump Declines Statement On Supreme Leader, Says Only: 'We'll See What Happens'

US President Donald Trump declined to comment on the election of Mojtaba Khamenei as Iran's new supreme leader after previously saying the 56-year-old ayatollah was a "lightweight" and an "unacceptable" choice.

When asked in an interview with the Times of Israel conducted shortly after Iran announced Khamenei's appointment, Trump said only, "We'll see what happens."

US President Trump meets and Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu (file photo).
US President Trump meets and Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu (file photo).

Khamenei succeeded his father, Ali Khamenei, who was killed during the first day of joint US and Israeli air strikes on Iran on February 28.

Before Mojtaba Khamenei's appointment, Trump suggested the United States would demand a role in naming the new supreme leader and appeared to suggest the new ruler could meet the same fate as the previous one.

Trump told ABC News that “if he [the next supreme leader] doesn’t get approval from us, he’s not going to last long.”

In the Times interview, Trump also said the decision on when to end the war would be done in consultation with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu but that he will make the final decision "at the right time."

“I think [the decision] is mutual… a little bit. We’ve been talking. I’ll make a decision at the right time, but everything’s going to be taken into account,” he said.

He also said that had he and Netanyahu not been in power, Iran would have destroyed Israel.

“Iran was going to destroy Israel and everything else around it…We’ve worked together. We’ve destroyed a country that wanted to destroy Israel,” he was quoted as saying.

Trump declined to answer a hypothetical question as to whether Israel could continue the war against Iran even after the US decided to halt its attacks, but he added, “I don’t think it’s going to be necessary."

The White House has said the war is likely to last four to six weeks following the February launch, although no specific deadline has been set.

02:10 9.3.2026

Iran Fires Missiles Toward Israel, Gulf States To Mark Supreme Leader Election

Iran said it fired off a series of missiles toward Israel to mark the election of Mojtaba Khamenei as the country's new supreme leader, according to state media, with additional firings launched toward US Arab allies in the Gulf.

"Iran fires first wave of missiles under the leadership of Ayatollah Seyyed Mojtaba Khamenei toward occupied territories," state broadcaster IRIB said on its Telegram channel on March 9.

The posting carried a photo showing a projectile with the words: "At Your Command, Sayyid Mojtaba."

An Iranian SIMORGH missile launch system (file photo).
An Iranian SIMORGH missile launch system (file photo).

"Massive explosions heard in the center of the occupied territories," it said, although there was no immediate confirmation from Israel.

Iran's Assembly of Experts announced earlier that Khamenei had succeeded his father, Ali Khamenei, as the country's supreme leader. The elder Khamenei had been killed during the first day of US and Israeli air strikes on February 28.

As supreme leader, the 56-year-old Mojtaba Khamenei will have ⁠final say in all political and military matters and hold near-dictatorial powers.

Elsewhere, several explosions were heard on March 9 in the Qatari capital, Doha, according to AFP journalists.

The Saudi Defense Ministry, meanwhile, said it had intercepted Iranian drones headed to the massive Shaybah oilfield.

The Kuwaiti Defense Ministry on March 9 also said the country's air defenses were working to intercept a new missile and drone attack on the small Gulf nation.

To read the full story, click here.

01:11 9.3.2026

US Orders Nonessential Diplomatic Personnel To Leave Saudi Arabia

The US State Department late on March 8 said it ordered nonessential diplomatic personnel and families to leave Saudi Arabia due to safety risks in the face of continued Iranian retaliatory strikes in the Gulf region.

The US Embassy in Riyadh approved voluntary departures for personnel on March 3, the ⁠day the facility was struck by Iranian drones, causing a fire that damaged some buildings at the site.

The State Department ordered nonessential US Embassy personnel and family members to leave Saudi Arabia for safety reasons.
The State Department ordered nonessential US Embassy personnel and family members to leave Saudi Arabia for safety reasons.

The State Department said in the latest advisory that it had "ordered nonemergency US government employees and US government employee family members to leave Saudi Arabia due to safety risks."

Following the launch of US and Israeli air strikes against Iran on February 28, Tehran has been firing back at Gulf Arab allies of the United States that host US military assets, often hitting airports, diplomatic sites, and commercial buildings.

As the State Department announced the advisory, the Saudi Defense Ministry separately said it intercepted a drone heading to the Shaybah oil field near the border with the United Arab Emirates.

Earlier in the day, the Saudi Civil Defense agency said two people were killed when an Iranian missile struck a residential building in the al-Kharj Governorate southeast of Riyadh.

00:20 9.3.2026

Trump Says Spike In Oil Prices 'Small Price To Pay' To Remove Iran's Nuclear Threat

US President Donald Trump on March 8 said the surge in oil prices as a result of the war on Iran is "small price to pay" for removing the threat of Tehran's nuclear program.

"Short term oil prices, which will drop rapidly when the destruction of the Iran nuclear threat is over, is a very small price to pay for U.S.A., and World, Safety and Peace. ONLY FOOLS WOULD THINK DIFFERENTLY!" he wrote on his Truth Social platform.

Rising oil prices are helping to raise gasoline prices at the pump in the United States and elsewhere.
Rising oil prices are helping to raise gasoline prices at the pump in the United States and elsewhere.

The spike in oil prices threaten to raise the cost of living for throughout the world. A rise in inflationary pressures in the United States could be a political liability for Trump, who had criticized rising prices during the term of predecessor Joe Biden.

The benchmark Brent crude price jumped 17 percent to $108.73 a barrel early on March 9, after already surging 28 percent last week. US crude rose 19 percent to $108.33 a barrel.

Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz -- through which 20 percent of global crude and gas passes -- has been nearly halted since the war began on February 28. Shipping insurance rates have soared, although Trump has vowed to provide assistance to the industry.

"The global economy remains dependent on the concentrated flow of Mideast oil and natural gas through the Strait of Hormuz," Bruce Kasman, chief economist at JPMorgan, was quoted by Reuters as saying.

"The near-term ‌scenario is a near-term spike toward $120 a barrel followed by moderation as the conflict soon subsides. But absent a clear and decisive political resolution, Brent crude oil prices are expected to settle at an elevated $80 barrel through mid-year," he added.

23:08 8.3.2026

Mojtaba Khamenei Follows In Father's Footsteps As Iran's New Supreme Leader

The March 8 election of Mojtaba Khamenei as the new leader by Iran's Assembly of Experts following the killing of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a US-Israeli attack marks the first time the son of a supreme leader is succeeding his father in the Islamic republic.

Mojtaba Khamenei has rarely appeared in public and has never addressed an audience beyond seminary classrooms, yet he is widely seen as a shadowy behind-the-scenes force with influence over those closest to the supreme leader's office and Iran's security institutions.

But who is Mojtaba Khamenei, and how did his name become one of the most controversial options for his father's succession?

To read the full story, click here.

23:03 8.3.2026

Despite Trump Warning, Iran Names Khamenei's Son As New Supreme Leader

Iran's Islamic republic leaders have named hard-liner Mojtaba Khamenei to replace his father, the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, as supreme leader in a decision that comes after President Donald Trump warned anyone chosen won't "last long" without US approval.

Iran's Assembly of Experts, responsible for electing the new ruler, said on March 8 that it has "designated and introduced Ayatollah Seyyed Mojtaba Hosseini Khamenei as the third Supreme Leader of the sacred system of the Islamic Republic of Iran."

As supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei will have ⁠final say in all matters of state and hold near-dictatorial matters.

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a US-Israeli air strike on February 28, the first day of the war that has spread throughout the region over the past week.

Trump had earlier said that Mojtaba Khamenei would be an "unacceptable choice."

The US president, who had previously called on Tehran to stop its resistance and surrender, had also told the American TV network ABC that without US approval, the new Iranian leader "is not going to last long."

In announcing the decision, Iran's Assembly of Experts appeared defiant, saying it made the choice "despite the acute war situation and direct threats from enemies."

To read the full story, click here.

22:15 8.3.2026

Pezeshkian Denies In Call With Aliyev Iran Responsibility for Nakhchivan Drone Strike

Iranian President Masud Pezeshkian denied in a call with Azerbaijan's leader that his country was responsible for a drone attack that struck a school and airport in Azerbaijan's Nakhchivan autonomous region on March 5.

A statement on March 8 by the office of Azerbaijan's presidential office reported that Pezeshkian said "the incident involving air strike on Nakhchivan had no connection with Iran."

It added that the Iranian president asserted that the incident, which injured two people, would be investigated.

Baku had earlier accused Iran of firing the drones, calling it an "act of terror" and vowing to respond.

Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev "underlined the importance" of carrying out an investigation on the incident and also "expressed his condolences over the death of numerous civilians in the recent events in Iran," the statement said.

The drone attack has heightened concerns in Azerbaijan -- which has close military, economic, and energy ties to Israel, Tehran's archenemy -- that it could become a target of the Islamic republic's expanding response to the massive US-Israeli air campaign launched on February 28.

Iran has retaliated by firing missiles and drones at US military and diplomatic facilities and striking key energy infrastructure in the Persian Gulf. Tehran's aim, experts say, is to expand the war and increase the cost of the conflict for Washington and its allies.

Much of the concern in Azerbaijan, an oil-rich country of around 10 million people, is centered around fears that Iran could target its energy infrastructure, including pipelines and production facilities.

Azerbaijan shares an around 700-kilometer border with Iran.

Iran has long been critical of Israel's presence in Azerbaijan. Tehran has accused Baku of cooperating with Israeli intelligence -- allegations Azerbaijan denies.

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